The Electoral Success of the Extreme Right: Is the Presence of a Minority Important?

IF 0.4 4区 社会学 Q4 SOCIOLOGY
M. Bahna, Jozef Zagrapan
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Anti-minority rhetoric as an almost universal feature of extremeright parties is often analytically and empirically linked to their electoral success. This article tests the link between the presence of an outgroup and the vote for the extreme right in an attempt to explain the electoral success of the first openly anti-system extreme-right party to enter the Slovak parliament in 2016. A multilevel approach is used to analyse the connection between Roma presence in a municipality and extreme-right support while controlling for the individual characteristics of voters. Analysis using exit-poll data covering 161 municipalities and 20 128 voters reveals no relationship between the presence of Roma in a municipality and support for the extreme right. A partial exception seems to be observed for older voters and the university-educated, who are generally the least inclined to far-right support. Interaction effects suggest that, for these groups, Roma presence might be connected to a higher probability to cast a vote for the extreme right. However, a notably higher chance of voting for the extreme right was associated with young, male, manual labourers and people without university education.
极右翼的选举成功:少数派的存在重要吗?
反少数民族言论几乎是极右翼政党的普遍特征,从分析和经验上看,这往往与他们的选举成功有关。本文测试了外围群体的存在与极右翼投票之间的联系,试图解释2016年第一个公开反体制的极右翼政党进入斯洛伐克议会的选举成功。在控制选民个人特征的同时,采用多层次方法分析罗姆人在城市中的存在与极右翼支持之间的联系。对161个城市和20128名选民的出口民调数据进行的分析显示,罗姆人在一个城市的存在与对极右翼的支持之间没有关系。老年选民和受过大学教育的人似乎是一个部分例外,他们通常最不倾向于支持极右翼。互动效应表明,对于这些群体来说,罗姆人的存在可能与向极右翼投票的可能性更高有关。然而,投票给极右翼的可能性明显更高的是年轻人、男性、体力劳动者和没有受过大学教育的人。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.00
自引率
25.00%
发文量
19
期刊介绍: Sociologický časopis je recenzovaný vědecký časopis publikující původní příspěvky k poznání společnosti od českých i zahraničních autorů. Vychází od roku 1965. Časopis přináší stati zabývající se otázkami teoretické sociologie, články zkoumající transformační jevy a sociální procesy probíhající v postkomunistických společnostech, přehledové články zpracovávající vývoj v široké paletě oborů sociologie a příbuzných sociálních věd, informace ze sociologických výzkumů.
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