Economic integration in the face of new challenges for the European economy

Łukasz Markowski, Rafał Warżała
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Recent events in the world economy, such as the pandemic and the war in Ukraine, have special implications for the countries that are part of the most advanced integration group in the world – the European Union (EU). In order to face new challenges, the EU must constantly evolve, because leaving the structure unchanged could mean stagnation and collapse. The paper aims to assess the functioning of the European Union in the conditions of the new ‘post-pandemic’ reality and the consequences of the war in Ukraine, and to review the prospects for further integration. The paper uses a diagnostic approach that involves establishing the actual state of affairs, assessing it, and considering the possibility of its improvement. As a result of the considerations undertaken, it can be assumed that the stability (and even the survival) of the EU seem to be favoured more by integration initiatives referring to the neo-functional theory and federal approach rather than the confederal approach. It is justified to increase the role of the political spill-over effect and the assumptions of heterodox economics. Historical experience leads to the conclusion that failure to take appropriate initiatives may trigger the disintegration mechanism and, consequently, the collapse of the European integration project.
经济一体化使欧洲经济面临新的挑战
世界经济中最近发生的事件,例如大流行病和乌克兰战争,对世界上最先进的一体化集团——欧洲联盟(欧盟)的成员国具有特殊影响。为了面对新的挑战,欧盟必须不断发展,因为保持结构不变可能意味着停滞和崩溃。该文件旨在评估欧洲联盟在新的"大流行病后"现实和乌克兰战争后果条件下的运作情况,并审查进一步一体化的前景。本文采用了一种诊断方法,包括建立事务的实际状态,评估它,并考虑其改进的可能性。考虑到这些因素,我们可以假设,欧盟的稳定(甚至生存)似乎更有利于新功能理论和联邦方法的一体化倡议,而不是邦联方法。加强政治溢出效应和非正统经济学假设的作用是合理的。历史经验得出的结论是,不采取适当的主动行动可能引发解体机制,从而导致欧洲一体化项目的崩溃。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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24 weeks
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