How Climate Change Might Save the World

U. Beck
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引用次数: 20

Abstract

We are faced with questions too big to fail and too big to answer. Most discussions on climate change are blocked; they are caught by catastrophism circulating in the horizon of the problem: what is climate change bad for? From a sociological point of view, because climate change is a threat to humanity, we can and should turn the question upside down and ask: what is climate change good for? The amazing thing is that if you firmly believe climate change is a fundamental threat to all of humanity, then that belief might bring a transformative, cosmopolitan turn in our contemporary life and the world might be changed for the better. This is what I call emancipatory catastrophism'. The question then is: how might climate change save the world?First thesis: Climate change is the embodiment of the mistakes of a whole epoch of industrial capitalism, and climate risks pursue their acknowledgement and correction with all the violence of the possibility of annihilation.Global risks are a kind of collective return of the repressed, wherein the self-assurance of the industrial capitalism, organized in form of nation-state politics, is confronted with the source of its own errors as an objectified threat to its own existence. Thus the global risk of climate change is a kind of compulsive, collective memory of the fact that past decisions and mistakes are contained in what we find ourselves exposed to; and that even the highest degree of institutional reification is nothing but a reification that can be revoked - a borrowed mode of action which can, and must, be changed if it leads to self-jeopardization.Put differently, the sociological significance of climate change lies in the momentum it generates in the re-emergence of the historicity of society and politics on a global scale, thereby allowing us to imagine new beginnings. Therefore, climate change risk can, as we shall see, be made into cosmopolitan communities of shared risks or even into an antidote to war; it induces the necessity to overcome neo-liberalism and to perceive and to practice new forms of transnational responsibility. It empowers the poor countries of the world and gives them a public voice; it puts the problem of cosmopolitan justice on the agenda of international politics; it creates informal and formal cooperation patterns between countries and governments who otherwise ignore each other or even see themselves as enemies. It makes economic and public actors accountable and makes responsible those who do not want to be accountable and responsible, and this happens even when they have the law on their side. It opens up new world markets, new innovation patterns; it changes lifestyles and consumption patterns. Last but not least, it induces new understandings of and caring for nature. All of this happens under the surface of the mantra of disappointments and disillusionments at the Wanderzirkus (traveling circus) of one climate conference after the other. From this perspective, climate change means first of all the end of the end of politics with highly ambivalent implications: global risk imposes a historical necessity for a cosmopolitan turn in politics but at the same time - and exactly because of this - it empowers anti-cosmopolitan movements.In the present moment, however, this re-emergence of politics remains clouded by the dominance of apocalyptic imaginaries in public discourse. It is limited by the inability of sociological thinking to analyse the transformation of the political and imagine new openings. To combat the sources of climate pessimism, we need a new cosmopolitan outlook, in research and politics, capable of grasping the epochal transformations of economy, culture, society and politics set in motion by the global risk of climate change.Second thesis: Sociologically and politically, the key is to distinguish risk from catastrophe. Risk is not catastrophe, but rather, the anticipation of future catastrophe in the present, as a horizon of the present future. …
气候变化如何拯救世界
我们面临着大到不能倒、大到无法回答的问题。大多数关于气候变化的讨论都受阻了;他们被在问题的地平线上流传的灾难论所困扰:气候变化有什么坏处?从社会学的角度来看,因为气候变化是对人类的威胁,我们可以也应该把这个问题倒过来问:气候变化有什么好处?令人惊奇的是,如果你坚定地相信气候变化是对全人类的根本威胁,那么这种信念可能会给我们的当代生活带来一个变革的、国际化的转折,世界可能会变得更好。这就是我所说的解放灾变论。那么问题来了:气候变化将如何拯救世界?第一个论点:气候变化是整个工业资本主义时代的错误的体现,气候风险以所有可能的毁灭的暴力来追求对它们的承认和纠正。全球风险是一种被压迫者的集体回归,在这种回归中,以民族国家政治形式组织起来的工业资本主义的自信面对着自身错误的根源,这是对其自身存在的客观威胁。因此,气候变化的全球风险是一种强迫性的集体记忆,即过去的决定和错误包含在我们发现自己面临的情况中;即使是最高程度的制度具体化也不过是一种可以撤销的具体化——一种可以而且必须改变的借来的行动模式,如果它导致自我危害的话。换句话说,气候变化的社会学意义在于它在全球范围内重新出现社会和政治的历史性,从而使我们能够想象新的开始。因此,正如我们将看到的那样,气候变化风险可以成为共同承担风险的世界性社区,甚至可以成为战争的解药;它促使我们有必要克服新自由主义,认识和实践新形式的跨国责任。它赋予世界上贫穷国家权力,让它们有发言权;它将世界主义正义问题提上了国际政治议程;它在国家和政府之间创造了非正式和正式的合作模式,否则这些国家和政府就会相互忽视,甚至将自己视为敌人。它使经济和公共行为者承担责任,并使那些不想承担责任和负责任的人承担责任,即使法律站在他们一边,这种情况也会发生。它开辟了新的世界市场,新的创新模式;它改变了生活方式和消费模式。最后但并非最不重要的是,它引发了对自然的新理解和关爱。所有这一切都发生在一个接一个气候会议的“巡回马戏团”(Wanderzirkus)上失望和幻灭的咒语之下。从这个角度来看,气候变化首先意味着政治终结的终结,具有高度矛盾的含义:全球风险为政治转向世界主义带来了历史必然性,但与此同时——也正是因为如此——它赋予了反世界主义运动以力量。然而,在当前时刻,这种政治的重新出现仍然被公共话语中世界末日想象的主导地位所笼罩。它受限于社会学思维无法分析政治的转变和想象新的开放。为了消除气候悲观主义的根源,我们需要一种新的世界主义观点,在研究和政治方面,能够把握由气候变化的全球风险引发的经济、文化、社会和政治的划时代变革。第二个论点:从社会学和政治的角度来看,关键是要区分风险和灾难。风险不是灾难,而是对当前未来灾难的预期,作为当前未来的视界。...
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