THE IMPACT OF THE ELECTORAL LAWS ON ELECTORAL PARTICIPATION IN BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA

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Abstract

Electoral laws governing the election of members to the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina roughly follow the consociational model of institutional arrangements in ethnically divided societies. The existing laws have been widely criticized since its introduction in 1996. Most problematic is the restriction of passive and active voting rights of segments of the electorate. The legislation makes it impossible for voters to vote for representatives of their nationality or to run as candidates for their own national community. In this article, we want to investigate whether the dissatisfaction of this group of voter’s manifests in lower voter turnout and a larger number of invalid ballots. Analysis of election results in the 2018 election reveals a weak correlation between the share of “unrepresented voters” and voter turnout. Consequently, it can be argued that voter dissatisfaction with the electoral system is not reflected in reduced voter turnout. The opposite is true for the share of invalid ballots. The share of “unrepresented voters” and the share of invalid ballots shows a moderately strong correlation. Consequently, we can conclude that many voters, who are prevented by the electoral system from voting for a representative of their nationality, express their protest by casting an invalid ballot.
选举法对波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那选举参与的影响
关于选举波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那总统成员的选举法大致遵循种族分裂社会体制安排的联合模式。现行法律自1996年出台以来一直受到广泛批评。最大的问题是对部分选民的被动和主动投票权的限制。这项立法使选民不可能投票给自己国籍的代表,也不可能作为自己民族社区的候选人参选。在本文中,我们想探讨这一群体的不满是否表现在投票率较低和无效票较多。对2018年大选结果的分析显示,“无代表选民”比例与选民投票率之间存在弱相关性。因此,可以认为选民对选举制度的不满并没有反映在选民投票率的下降上。无效选票的比例正好相反。“无代表选民”的比例和无效选票的比例显示出中等强的相关性。因此,我们可以得出结论,许多选民由于选举制度而无法投票给其国籍的代表,因此投了一张无效的选票来表达他们的抗议。
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