Mathematical analysis of an SIR network model with imperfect vaccination and varying size of population

Yao Hu, L. Min, Yongmei Su, Y. Kuang
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Epidemic Spreading is a major global health problem. Modeling epidemic spreading dynamics is important for understanding and controlling epidemic spreading, providing prevention strategies. This paper points out some flaws existing in the susceptible-infected - susceptible (SIS) model proposed by Safan and Rihan, and proposes a modified susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model on homogenous networks. It is proved that if the basic reproduction number Rv of the model is less than one, then the infection-free equilibrium of the model is globally asymptotically stable. On the other hand, if Rv of the model is more than one, the endemic equilibrium of the model is globally asymptotically stable. This paper also numerically predicts the effect of vaccination ratio on the size of HBV infected mainland Chinese population.
不完全疫苗接种和人口规模变化的SIR网络模型的数学分析
流行病蔓延是一个重大的全球卫生问题。建立传染病传播动力学模型对于理解和控制传染病传播,提供预防策略具有重要意义。本文指出了Safan和Rihan提出的易感-感染-易感(susceptibility -infected- vulnerable, SIS)模型存在的一些缺陷,提出了一种改进的同质网络易感-感染-恢复(susceptibility -infected-recovered, SIR)模型。证明了如果模型的基本复制数Rv小于1,则模型的无感染平衡点是全局渐近稳定的。另一方面,如果模型的Rv大于1,则模型的局部平衡点是全局渐近稳定的。本文还对疫苗接种率对中国大陆HBV感染人群规模的影响进行了数值预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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