Temporary Basic Income in Times of Pandemic: Rationale, Costs and Poverty-Mitigation Potential

IF 1.6 Q3 ECONOMICS
George Gray Molina, María Montoya-Aguirre, Eduardo Ortiz-Juarez
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Abstract The pandemic has exposed the costs of job and income losses. Emergency cash transfers can mitigate the worst immediate effects on people who lack access to safety nets. This research note provides estimates for a potential Temporary Basic Income (TBI) for poor and near-poor people across 132 developing countries, as well as the minimum cost of income support sufficient to mitigate the pandemic-induced poverty increase. The total monthly cost of the TBI ranges 0.27–0.63% of developing countries’ combined GDP, depending on the choice: (i) top-ups on each country’s average incomes up to a vulnerability threshold; (ii) transfers based on each country’s median standard of living; or (iii) uniform transfers. This note argues that some form of TBI is within reach and can inform a larger conversation about how to build comprehensive social protection systems that make the poor and near-poor more resilient to economic downturns in the future.
大流行时期的临时基本收入:理由、成本和减贫潜力
疫情暴露了就业和收入损失的代价。紧急现金转移可以减轻对无法获得安全网的人造成的最严重的直接影响。本研究说明提供了对132个发展中国家贫困和接近贫困人口的潜在临时基本收入(TBI)的估计,以及足以缓解大流行导致的贫困增加的最低收入支持成本。TBI的每月总成本为发展中国家总GDP的0.27-0.63%,具体取决于以下选择:(i)每个国家的平均收入达到脆弱性阈值;根据每个国家生活水平中位数的转移;或(iii)统一转让。本文认为,某种形式的创伤性脑损伤是可以实现的,可以为如何建立全面的社会保护体系提供更广泛的讨论,使穷人和接近贫困的人更有能力应对未来的经济衰退。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.40
自引率
18.20%
发文量
14
期刊介绍: Basic income is a universal income grant available to every citizen without means test or work requirement. Academic discussion of basic income and related policies has been growing in the fields of economics, philosophy, political science, sociology, and public policy over the last few decades — with dozens of journal articles published each year, and basic income constituting the subject of more than 30 books in the last 10 years. In addition, the political discussion of basic income has been expanding through social organizations, NGOs and other advocacy groups. Internationally, recent years have witnessed the endorsement of basic income by grassroots movements as well as government officials in developing countries such as Brazil or South-Africa. As the community of people working on this issue has been expanding all over the world, incorporating grassroots activists, high profile academics — including several Nobel Prize winners in economics — and policymakers, the amount of high quality research on this topic has increased considerably. In the light of such extensive scholarship on this topic, the need to coordinate research efforts through a journal specifically devoted to basic income and cognate policies became pressing. Basic Income Studies (BIS) is the first academic journal to focus specifically on basic income and cognate policies.
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