Comparing the robustness and effectiveness of the Antarctic treaty system and the UNFCCC regime

S. Scott
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

ABSTRACT Both the UNFCCC governing climate change and the Antarctic Treaty System that governs Antarctica can now be understood as multi-treaty regimes situated within an Antarctic and Southern Ocean regime complex. The theory of Cognitive Structures of Cooperation (CSC Theory) provides a framework within which to analyse normative developments within a regime complex. Using CSC Theory this paper compares the two regimes in terms of robustness and effectiveness, before considering their interaction within the Antarctic and Southern Ocean regime complex. It finds that both have prioritised regime robustness over effectiveness. This is contrary to an assumption implicit in the Paris Agreement – that as the climate change challenge becomes worse, ambition (to increase effectiveness) will increase. For the ATS, the risk of prioritising institutional robustness over effectiveness is ultimately a loss of relevance.
比较南极条约体系和《联合国气候变化框架公约》制度的稳健性和有效性
管理气候变化的《联合国气候变化框架公约》和管理南极洲的《南极条约体系》现在都可以被理解为位于南极和南大洋制度综合体内的多条约制度。合作的认知结构理论(CSC理论)提供了一个框架,在其中分析制度复合体内的规范发展。本文利用CSC理论比较了两种机制的鲁棒性和有效性,然后考虑了它们在南极和南大洋机制复合体中的相互作用。研究发现,两者都将制度的稳健性置于有效性之上。这与《巴黎协定》隐含的假设相悖——即随着气候变化挑战变得更糟,(提高有效性的)雄心将会增强。对于ATS而言,将制度稳健性置于有效性之上的风险最终会丧失相关性。
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来源期刊
Australian Journal of Maritime and Ocean Affairs
Australian Journal of Maritime and Ocean Affairs Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
17
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