A Descriptive Analysis of Trade and Balance of Payment in Kenya

Dorcas Musili
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Abstract

Kenya’s current account for quite over a long time has experienced deterioration and hence reflecting a deficit. This worsening in the current account balance is as a result of high growth in import merchandise bill relative to export merchandise hence the import-export gap has continued to worsen, the high continuous rise of inflation rate and overall slow economic growth in Kenya. It is however despite the deterioration Kenya marked some significant surpluses the current accounts within the period for some years that is 1977 and 2003. In 1977 the surplus was attributed to the coffee boom and in 2003 it was attributed to decline in imports as receipts from exports increased. The performance of BOP is influenced by a number of factors which among others include; trade balance, terms of trade, competitiveness, domestic money supply, exchange rate, fiscal deficit, economic growth rate, domestic capital formation, inflation rate, net foreign direct investment, capital market, remittances and loans.
肯尼亚贸易与国际收支的描述性分析
肯尼亚的经常账户在相当长一段时间内经历了恶化,因此反映出赤字。经常帐户余额的恶化是由于进口商品帐单相对于出口商品的高增长,因此进出口差额继续恶化,通货膨胀率持续高企,肯尼亚经济增长总体缓慢。然而,尽管情况恶化,肯尼亚在1977年和2003年期间的经常账户中出现了一些可观的盈余。1977年的盈余归因于咖啡业的繁荣,而2003年的盈余则归因于出口收入增加导致的进口下降。影响防喷器性能的因素有很多,其中包括:贸易平衡、贸易条件、竞争力、国内货币供应量、汇率、财政赤字、经济增长率、国内资本形成、通货膨胀率、净外国直接投资、资本市场、汇款和贷款。
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