Assessing the impacts of inter-annual rainfall variability on cash crops’ yield in Ondo state, Nigeria

Omosuyi Oluwayemisi Bukola, Akinfisoye Emmanuel Oluwadunsin, Funmilayo Olukemi Abimbola
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Abstract

The agriculture sector is of great importance to the development of any nation in Africa; hence, it is determined by the operating climatic mechanisms of such nation, especially rainfall. This study was carried out to assess the inter-annual rainfall variability impacts on cash crop yield in Ondo state for a period of twenty years (2000-2019). The study employed mainly secondary data which was analyzed using inferential statistics. Trend analysis was used to determine the pattern of rainfall and cash crops’ yield for the period under review. Also it was revealed that there were fluctuations in the trend of rainfall and the yield of cash crops. The correlation analysis showed a significant relationship between rainfall and cash crops yield; but an inverse relationship with rubber yield specifically. On the other hand the regression analysis showed little impact of rainfall variability on cash crop yield. However, it was recommended that in this era of dwindling economy due to over reliance on crude oil in Nigeria, the government through National Orientation Agency and Non-governmental Organizations should keep persuading and enlightening Nigerians to venture into agriculture to save the country’s economy and reduce poverty.  
评估尼日利亚Ondo州年际降雨量变化对经济作物产量的影响
农业部门对非洲任何国家的发展都非常重要;因此,它是由这个国家的运行气候机制决定的,特别是降雨。本研究旨在评估为期20年(2000-2019年)的Ondo州年际降雨变率对经济作物产量的影响。本研究主要采用二手资料,采用推理统计方法进行分析。趋势分析用于确定本报告所述期间的降雨模式和经济作物€™产量。降雨趋势和经济作物产量也存在波动。相关分析表明,降雨量与经济作物产量呈显著相关;但与橡胶产量呈反比关系。另一方面,回归分析显示降雨变率对经济作物产量的影响不大。然而,有人建议,在尼日利亚由于过度依赖原油而导致经济萎缩的时代,政府应该通过国家定向机构和非政府组织继续说服和启发尼日利亚人冒险进入农业,以拯救国家的经济并减少贫困。一个一个
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