The Demographic Trends on Pension Systems in Romania

Tudor Colomeischi, E. Iancu
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Abstract

Within national pension systems, the role of private pensions tends to become increasingly important. In support of this idea, we recall the conclusion that has been made by research that has taken place over time that the value of private pension fund assets has risen on average by 11.5% annually. The impressive value of assets becomes extremely tempting for investors who see extremely good long-term investment opportunities if we consider the amounts traded. The Romanian pension system has entered a continuous process of change, not always with positive consequences on the level of pensions. The truly significant reforms have only emerged since 2000, being favored by the country's accession to the European Union. Unlike other states, in Romanian the 2008 crisis affected the pension system especially in its public component. Private funds have resisted fairly well the problems that have arisen, partly because of the extremely prudent investment policy. The paper attempts to capture the pressures on pension systems, also making a series of forecasts on future developments in different hypotheses of the economic and social context.
罗马尼亚养老金制度的人口趋势
在国家养恤金制度内,私人养恤金的作用趋于日益重要。为了支持这一观点,我们回顾了一项长期研究得出的结论,即私人养老基金资产的价值平均每年增长11.5%。如果我们考虑到交易金额,对于那些看到极好的长期投资机会的投资者来说,资产令人印象深刻的价值变得极其诱人。罗马尼亚养恤金制度已进入一个不断变化的过程,但并不总是对养恤金水平产生积极的影响。真正意义重大的改革是在2000年之后才出现的,这得益于该国加入欧盟。与其他国家不同,罗马尼亚2008年的危机影响了养老金体系,尤其是公共部门。私人基金相当好地抵制了出现的问题,部分原因是极其谨慎的投资政策。本文试图捕捉养老金制度的压力,并在不同的经济和社会背景假设下对未来的发展进行了一系列预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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