Unveiling Venice’s hotels competition networks from dynamic pricing digital market

IF 1.5 3区 数学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS
Mirko Armillotta, K. Fokianos, A. Guizzardi
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

We study the dynamic price competition of hotels in Venice using publicly available data scraped from an online travel agency. This study poses two main challenges. First, the time series of prices recorded for each hotel encompasses a twofold time frame. For every single asking price for an overnight stay on a specific day, there is a corresponding time series of asking prices along the booking window on the online platforms. Second, the competition relations between different hoteliers is clearly unknown and needs to be discovered using a suitable methodology. We address these problems by proposing a novel Network Autoregressive model which is able to handle the peculiar threefold data structure of the data set with time-varying coefficients over the booking window. This approach allows us to uncover the competition network of the market players by employing a quick data-driven algorithm. Independent, mixed, and leader–follower relationships are detected, revealing the competitive dynamics of the destination, useful to managers and stakeholders.
从动态定价的数字市场揭示威尼斯的酒店竞争网络
我们使用从一家在线旅行社收集的公开数据,研究了威尼斯酒店的动态价格竞争。这项研究提出了两个主要挑战。首先,每个酒店记录的价格时间序列包含两个时间框架。对于某一天过夜住宿的每一个要价,在线平台上的预订窗口都有相应的时间序列的要价。其次,不同酒店经营者之间的竞争关系显然是未知的,需要使用合适的方法来发现。我们通过提出一种新颖的网络自回归模型来解决这些问题,该模型能够处理预订窗口上具有时变系数的数据集的特殊三重数据结构。这种方法允许我们通过使用快速数据驱动算法来揭示市场参与者的竞争网络。独立的、混合的和领导-追随者的关系被发现,揭示了目的地的竞争动态,对管理者和利益相关者有用。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.90
自引率
5.00%
发文量
136
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Series A (Statistics in Society) publishes high quality papers that demonstrate how statistical thinking, design and analyses play a vital role in all walks of life and benefit society in general. There is no restriction on subject-matter: any interesting, topical and revelatory applications of statistics are welcome. For example, important applications of statistical and related data science methodology in medicine, business and commerce, industry, economics and finance, education and teaching, physical and biomedical sciences, the environment, the law, government and politics, demography, psychology, sociology and sport all fall within the journal''s remit. The journal is therefore aimed at a wide statistical audience and at professional statisticians in particular. Its emphasis is on well-written and clearly reasoned quantitative approaches to problems in the real world rather than the exposition of technical detail. Thus, although the methodological basis of papers must be sound and adequately explained, methodology per se should not be the main focus of a Series A paper. Of particular interest are papers on topical or contentious statistical issues, papers which give reviews or exposés of current statistical concerns and papers which demonstrate how appropriate statistical thinking has contributed to our understanding of important substantive questions. Historical, professional and biographical contributions are also welcome, as are discussions of methods of data collection and of ethical issues, provided that all such papers have substantial statistical relevance.
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