Credit situation of microenterprises in Poland – trends and implications

Maria Andrzejak, Arkadiusz Weremczuk, Michał Wielechowski
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Abstract

The study aim is to characterise and assess the credit situation of microenterprises in Poland in 2020-2022. We focus on credit dynamics and quality, including total loans, investment loans, working capital loans, and overdrafts. We use monthly data from Polish Credit Information Bureau (BIK). The research covers the period between July 2020 and July 2022. We observe a significant increase in the dynamics of loans granted to microenterprises at the beginning of 2021 and a downward trend in the following analysed months. The fluctuation is similar for investment loans, working capital loans, and overdrafts. We claim that a decrease in the dynamics and interest in loans by microenterprises is not dependent only on the COVID-19 pandemic. A substantial reduction in the value of the Portfolio Quality Index is noticed during the first months of the analysed period (second half of 2020). Then its value stabilizes at a low level. The Index of Portfolio Quality for all analysed industries shows similar values. The analysis results indicate an unfavourable trend that should worry the microentrepreneurs sector and may also negatively affect the entire economy.
波兰微型企业的信贷状况-趋势和影响
该研究的目的是描述和评估2020-2022年波兰微型企业的信贷状况。我们关注信贷动态和质量,包括贷款总额、投资贷款、流动资金贷款和透支。我们使用波兰信用信息局(BIK)的月度数据。该研究涵盖了2020年7月至2022年7月期间。我们观察到,在2021年初,发放给微型企业的贷款动态显著增加,在随后的分析月份呈下降趋势。投资贷款、流动资金贷款和透支贷款的波动情况也类似。我们认为,微型企业贷款动态和利息的下降不仅取决于COVID-19大流行。在分析期间的头几个月(2020年下半年),投资组合质量指数的价值大幅下降。然后它的价值稳定在一个较低的水平。所有被分析行业的投资组合质量指数显示出相似的值。分析结果表明,一种不利的趋势应使微型企业家部门感到担忧,并可能对整个经济产生负面影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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