Trends in Mortality in Children Hospitalized with Meningococcal Infections in Albania from 2006 to 2014

Gjovalin Valca, Ermira Kola, A. Qosja, I. Bakalli, R. Lluka, D. Sala, I. Gjeta, Ermela Gjyzeli, S. Sallabanda
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Abstract

Background: Lack of vaccination and modern health care facilities in many countries including Albania let meningococcemia to remain as a serious challenging disorder especially among children and in spite of improved diagnosis and earlier treatment its prognosis is still dismal. Patients expected to develop life-threatening complications in acute meningococcal infections require early recognition and appropriate monitoring. Different prognostic scoring systems have been developed. Aim: The aim of this study was to evaluate mortality in children hospitalized with meningococcal infections in Albania, including scoring systems in prognosticating mortality rate. Materials and Methods: This was a retrospective descriptive study, performed on 40 patients with definite diagnosis of meningococcal infection admitted to PICU in UHC “Mother Teresa”, Tirana, Albania, between 2006 and 2014. There were 40 patients, 22(55%) males and 18(45%) females, from 2 months to 10 years old. We evaluated all the patients based on Stiehm and Damrosch and Glasgow meningococcal septicemia prognostic score. Data were collected by filling checklists. SSPS software was applied to analyze the data using chi-square test. Results: Overall mortality was 42%. According to the GMSPS(3) prognostic score of meningococcemia: 28 (70%) patients had a score <8 points and was recorded four deaths representing a mortality rate of 14.2%; the mortality rate among 12(45%) patients with a score ≥8 points resulted in 100% mortality. The sensitivity was 100%, specificity was 100%, the positive predictive value was 100% and the negative predictive value was 100% for a GMSPS score ≥8. According to the Stiehm and Damrosch criteria (2): 22(55%) patients had two or less factors present and was recorded three deaths representing a mortality rate of 13.6%; the mortality rate among 18(45%) patients with three or more factors present the mortality rate was 72.2%. The sensitivity was 90%, specificity was 80%, the positive predictive value was 75% and negative predictive value was 92.3% for the criterion ≥3 of the Stiehm and Damrosch criteria. Conclusions: Meningococci are still killers, they affect men more than women. The Stiehm and Damrosch and Glasgow meningococcal septicemia prognostic score can rapidly identify children with fulminant meningococcal disease and poor prognosis and help us starting prompt administration of suitable antibiotics, critical care and special therapeutic measures. Keywords: Meningococcal disease, meningococcemia, meningitis, children, scoring system.
2006 - 2014年阿尔巴尼亚脑膜炎球菌感染住院儿童死亡率趋势
背景:包括阿尔巴尼亚在内的许多国家缺乏疫苗接种和现代卫生保健设施,使脑膜炎球菌病仍然是一种严重的具有挑战性的疾病,特别是在儿童中,尽管诊断和早期治疗有所改善,但其预后仍然令人沮丧。急性脑膜炎球菌感染患者可能出现危及生命的并发症,需要及早发现并进行适当监测。不同的预后评分系统已经被开发出来。目的:本研究的目的是评估阿尔巴尼亚脑膜炎球菌感染住院儿童的死亡率,包括预测死亡率的评分系统。材料和方法:本研究是一项回顾性描述性研究,对2006年至2014年阿尔巴尼亚地拉那特蕾莎修女UHC PICU收治的40例明确诊断为脑膜炎球菌感染的患者进行研究。40例患者,男22例(55%),女18例(45%),年龄2个月~ 10岁。我们根据Stiehm和Damrosch以及Glasgow脑膜炎球菌败血症预后评分对所有患者进行评估。通过填写核对表收集数据。采用SSPS软件对数据进行卡方检验。结果:总死亡率为42%。根据脑膜炎球菌病的GMSPS(3)预后评分:28(70%)患者评分<8分,记录有4例死亡,死亡率为14.2%;评分≥8分的12例(45%)患者死亡率为100%。对于GMSPS评分≥8分,敏感性为100%,特异性为100%,阳性预测值为100%,阴性预测值为100%。根据Stiehm和Damrosch标准(2):22例(55%)患者存在两种或更少的因素,记录有3例死亡,死亡率为13.6%;有3种及以上因素的18例(45%)患者的死亡率为72.2%。Stiehm和Damrosch标准≥3项的敏感性为90%,特异性为80%,阳性预测值为75%,阴性预测值为92.3%。结论:脑膜炎球菌仍是致命疾病,男性多于女性。Stiehm和Damrosch以及Glasgow脑膜炎球菌败血症预后评分可以快速识别患有暴发性脑膜炎球菌病和预后不良的儿童,并帮助我们开始及时给予适当的抗生素、重症监护和特殊治疗措施。关键词:脑膜炎球菌病,脑膜炎球菌血症,脑膜炎,儿童,评分系统。
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