Analysis of Caputo fractional-order model for COVID-19 with non-pharmaceuticals interventions and vaccine hesitancy

IF 0.4 Q4 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL
Mlyashimbi Helikumi, Paride O. Lolika, S. Mushayabasa
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a fractional order Coronavirus (COVID-19) model incorporating non-pharmaceutical interventions and vaccine hesitancy. The proposed model was calibrated with data from literature and validated with reported daily cases of COVID-19 from Wuhan, China. We derived the reproduction number and demonstrated that it is an important threshold parameter for disease persistence and extinction. We examined the relationship between the reproduction number and model parameters. Our findings underscore the importance of awareness and vaccine uptake on mitigating the spread of COVID-19.
具有非药物干预和疫苗犹豫的COVID-19 Caputo分数阶模型分析
在本文中,我们提出了一个包含非药物干预和疫苗犹豫的分数阶冠状病毒(COVID-19)模型。所提出的模型使用文献数据进行校准,并使用中国武汉报告的每日COVID-19病例进行验证。我们导出了繁殖数,并证明它是疾病持续和灭绝的重要阈值参数。我们检验了再现数与模型参数之间的关系。我们的研究结果强调了认识和接种疫苗对减轻COVID-19传播的重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
AIMS Medical Science
AIMS Medical Science MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL-
自引率
14.30%
发文量
20
审稿时长
12 weeks
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