Improving Proactive Decision Making with Object Trend Displays

Alexander Eftychiou, J. Dowell
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Abstract

Operators of dynamic systems often use time-series data to support their diagnostic and proactive decision-making. Those data have traditionally been displayed in the form of separate trend charts, for example, line graphs of pressure and temperature over time. Configural object displays are a widely advocated approach to the visual integration of information yet have been applied only rarely to time-series data. One example was the 'time tunnel' format but its benefits were equivocal, seemingly compromised by its graphical complexity. There is then the need to investigate other graphical forms for object displays of time series data. This research will require a microworld representing a knowledge-rich task domain accessible to multiple participants (the nuclear power plant simulation used with the time tunnel display studies required participants to have 20 hours of experience with the system). We report a design for such a microworld that adopts the domain of financial control of a business where decisions need to be made about the pricing of products to optimize returns in a changing and sometimes volatile market. Alternative visual displays of the essential time series data for this domain are possible and whilst decision making is knowledge rich, involving reasoning about high level relationships, pilot tests showed that it is accessible to participants with only moderate training.
利用对象趋势显示改进主动决策
动态系统的操作人员经常使用时间序列数据来支持他们的诊断和主动决策。传统上,这些数据以单独的趋势图的形式显示,例如,压力和温度随时间的线形图。构形对象显示是一种被广泛提倡的信息视觉整合方法,但很少应用于时间序列数据。一个例子是“时间隧道”格式,但它的好处是模棱两可的,似乎损害了它的图像复杂性。然后需要研究时间序列数据对象显示的其他图形形式。这项研究将需要一个微世界,代表一个知识丰富的任务域,可供多个参与者访问(与时间隧道显示研究一起使用的核电站模拟要求参与者具有20小时的系统经验)。我们报告了这样一个微观世界的设计,它采用了企业的财务控制领域,在这个领域中,需要做出关于产品定价的决策,以在不断变化和有时不稳定的市场中优化回报。这个领域的基本时间序列数据的替代视觉显示是可能的,虽然决策是知识丰富的,涉及高层次关系的推理,但试点测试表明,只有适度培训的参与者才能访问它。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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