Machine learning models for statistical analysis

Marko Grebovic, Luka Filipović, Ivana Katnic, M. Vukotić, Tomo Popović
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Compared to traditional statistical models, Machine Learning (ML) algorithms provide the ability to interpret, understand and summarize patterns and regularities in observed data for making predictions in an advanced and more sophisticated way. The main reasons for the advantage of ML methods in making predictions are a small number of significant predictors of the statistical models, which means limited informative capability, and pseudo-correct regular statistical patterns, used without previous understanding of the used data causality. Also, some ML methods, like Artificial Neural Networks, use non-linear algorithms, considering links and associations between parameters. On the other hand, statistical models use one-step-ahead linear processes to improve only short-term prediction accuracy by minimizing a cost function. Although designing an optimal ML model can be a very complex process, it can be used as a potential solution for making improved prediction models compared to statistical ones. However, ML models will not automatically improve prediction accuracy, so it is necessary to evaluate and analyze several statistical and ML methods, including some artificial neural networks, through accuracy measures for prediction purposes in various fields of applications. A couple of techniques for improving suggested ML methods and artificial neural networks are proposed to get better accuracy results
用于统计分析的机器学习模型
与传统的统计模型相比,机器学习(ML)算法提供了解释、理解和总结观察数据中的模式和规律的能力,从而以更先进、更复杂的方式进行预测。ML方法在预测方面具有优势的主要原因是统计模型的重要预测因子数量很少,这意味着有限的信息能力和伪正确的规则统计模式,在没有事先了解所使用的数据因果关系的情况下使用。此外,一些机器学习方法,如人工神经网络,使用非线性算法,考虑参数之间的联系和关联。另一方面,统计模型使用一步超前线性过程,通过最小化成本函数来提高短期预测精度。虽然设计一个最优的ML模型可能是一个非常复杂的过程,但与统计模型相比,它可以作为一个潜在的解决方案来改进预测模型。然而,机器学习模型不会自动提高预测精度,因此有必要通过精度度量来评估和分析几种统计和机器学习方法,包括一些人工神经网络,以在各个应用领域进行预测。为了获得更好的准确率结果,提出了一些改进建议的ML方法和人工神经网络的技术
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