Life Extension of Offshore Structure Using Machine Learning

S. Bhowmik
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

The objective of the paper is to demonstrate the Machine Learning (ML) based Structural Integrity Management (SIM) Methodology and its application for the life extension of the offshore structure. This paper also illustrates how the sensor data are used to generate an ML based predictive model and how it will be used to minimise the inspection cost without using the traditional Risk Based Inspection(RBI) methodology. Structural assessment, real-time monitoring and predictive maintenance are the three main aspects of the life extension process for the offshore structure. Usually, the structures are designed for a fixed design life, but during life extension process it is assessed through FE analysis and various inspection methods whether the structure will have adequate fatigue life for another 5-10 year. But running fatigue analysis is computationally expensive as well as inspection also increase the operational cost. Sensors are installed on the offshore structure, and the stress, acceleration, wave, current etc. are measured and transmitted through wired or wireless sensor network and stored in cloud computing. This data is used for predicting the new wave and current data for 1 and 10-year return period. The acceleration data is used to get the modal frequencies and calibrate the FE model. Also, the measured stress value is compared with the FE model generated stress value, and the FE model is further calibrated. Machine Learning Algorithm (Recurrent Neural Network) is used to generate the predictive maintenance schedule based on the data-driven fatigue prediction model created from the measurement data. The case study shows the life extension of the offshore jacket structure with proposed machine learning based life extension methodology. The data-driven fatigue predictive model generates the remaining fatigue life, and it is compared with the fatigue life calculated from the FE model. It shows a good match and within 5-10% inaccuracy limit. The predictive maintenance schedule is developed based on the remaining fatigue life. ML-based model significantly reduces the computational cost as well as the real-time data also improves the fatigue life calculation accuracy. Hence, though predictive maintenance, the overall operational cost will be reduced significantly.
利用机器学习延长海上结构的寿命
本文的目的是展示基于机器学习(ML)的结构完整性管理(SIM)方法及其在海上结构寿命延长中的应用。本文还说明了如何使用传感器数据来生成基于机器学习的预测模型,以及如何在不使用传统的基于风险的检查(RBI)方法的情况下将检查成本降至最低。结构评估、实时监测和预测性维护是海上结构延长寿命过程的三个主要方面。通常,结构的设计寿命是固定的,但在延长寿命的过程中,通过有限元分析和各种检测方法来评估结构是否有足够的疲劳寿命再延长5-10年。但运行疲劳分析计算量大,检测也增加了运行成本。在海上结构上安装传感器,测量应力、加速度、波浪、电流等,通过有线或无线传感器网络传输,存储在云计算中。该数据用于预测1年和10年回归期的新浪潮和当前数据。利用加速度数据得到模态频率并对有限元模型进行校正。将实测应力值与有限元模型生成的应力值进行对比,并对有限元模型进行进一步标定。基于测量数据建立的数据驱动的疲劳预测模型,采用机器学习算法(递归神经网络)生成预测性维修计划。该案例研究表明,采用基于机器学习的延长寿命方法可以延长海上导管架结构的寿命。数据驱动的疲劳预测模型生成了剩余疲劳寿命,并与有限元模型计算的疲劳寿命进行了比较。结果吻合良好,误差控制在5-10%以内。基于剩余疲劳寿命制定了预测维修计划。基于ml的模型大大降低了计算成本,数据实时性也提高了疲劳寿命的计算精度。因此,通过预测性维护,总体运营成本将显著降低。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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