Permafrost-climatic monitoring of Russia: Analysis of field data and forecast

IF 1.6 Q3 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL

Polar Geography Pub Date : 2008-03-01 DOI:10.1080/10889370802175911

A. Pavlov

引用次数: 31

Abstract

Abstract The author surveys work currently under way in the Russian Federation to assess the interrelationships between climate and permafrost and its use as a basis for forecasting change in permafrost conditions. Long-term trends in air temperature, precipitation, and snow depth provide the basic information for efforts to reconstruct past climates and for the formulation of numerical atmospheric radiation-circulation models, utilized in climate forecasting. Forecast and observed trends in climate are compared with data from permafrost stations that indicate trends in ground temperature and permafrost conditions. Such comparisons provide the basis for forecasts of anticipated change in Russian permafrost by the years 2020 and 2050.

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俄罗斯永久冻土气候监测:野外数据分析和预测

作者调查了俄罗斯联邦目前正在进行的工作，以评估气候与永久冻土之间的相互关系，并将其作为预测永久冻土条件变化的基础。气温、降水和雪深的长期趋势为重建过去气候和制定用于气候预报的数值大气辐射-环流模式提供了基本信息。将预测和观测到的气候趋势与显示地温和永久冻土层状况趋势的永久冻土层站数据进行比较。这样的比较为预测到2020年和2050年俄罗斯永久冻土的预期变化提供了基础。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Polar Geography GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL-

CiteScore

5.30

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Polar Geographyis a quarterly publication that offers a venue for scholarly research on the physical and human aspects of the Polar Regions. The journal seeks to address the component interplay of the natural systems, the complex historical, political, economic, cultural, diplomatic, and security issues, and the interchange amongst them. As such, the journal welcomes comparative approaches, critical scholarship, and alternative and disparate perspectives from around the globe. The journal offers scientists a venue for publishing longer papers such as might result from distillation of a thesis, or review papers that place in global context results from coordinated national and international efforts currently underway in both Polar Regions.