Using Archives of Past Floods to Estimate Future Flood Hazards

T. Swierczynski, M. Ionita, D. Pino
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引用次数: 6

Abstract

Worldwide, floods cause greater economic damage and loss of human life than any other type of natural disaster. We urgently need better assessments of flood hazards to reduce the societal impact of extreme floods caused by Earth’s rapidly changing climate, among other factors. One way of assessing flood hazards is to examine past floods using the records provided by hydrological instruments. We can extend this knowledge back through the Holocene period or beyond using historical documents and natural archives (including alluvial, marine, and lake sediments; tree rings; and cave formations). These extended records can provide valuable information about long-term flood trends.
利用历史洪水档案估算未来洪水灾害
在世界范围内,洪水造成的经济损失和人命损失比任何其他类型的自然灾害都要大。我们迫切需要更好地评估洪水灾害,以减少地球快速变化的气候等因素造成的极端洪水对社会的影响。评估洪水灾害的一种方法是利用水文仪器提供的记录来检查过去的洪水。我们可以利用历史文献和自然档案(包括冲积物、海洋和湖泊沉积物)将这些知识追溯到全新世或更早的时期;树的年轮;以及洞穴构造)。这些扩展的记录可以提供有关长期洪水趋势的宝贵信息。
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