Information Content Assessment of the Federal Budget and the Budget Process in the Russian Federation

IF 7.6 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
O. Morozov, M. A. Vasiliev
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Abstract

This article is devoted to the results of a statistical study of the composition of federal budget expenditures (the object of the study) from the standpoint of assessing its information content (the subject of the study). In the opinion of its authors, the issues of information content of budget decisions remain out of due attention not only from the participants of the budget process, but also in the practice of public administration in general. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to form scientifically based tools for assessing the information content, determining its quantitative indicators, clarifying the nature, hidden features and balance in the distribution of federal budget expenditures.Materials and methods. The analysis of the composition parameters of federal budget expenditures was carried out on the basis of statistical data of the Federal Treasury for 2014-2020. The theoretical foundations and research methods are developed based on the authors’ preferences regarding the results of conceptual and applied developments of domestic scientists in the field of synergetic information theory, structural analysis of systems, and modular theory of society. Quantitative methods of processing the initial data, tabular and graphical methods of visualizing the results of the study were used. Standard Microsoft Office application software packages were used to solve the research tasks.Results. Indexes of information content of the multicomponent systems’ composition and algorithms for their calculations are formed. Quantitative criteria are determined and a model for optimizing the composition of federal budget expenditures is presented. The comparison of actual and model indexes of the information content is presented as a way to adjust priorities in the composition of federal budget expenditures; as a way to develop tactics and strategies for the transition from the actual parameters of the expenditures’ composition to the “best” distribution, which is described by a quantitative model of the optimal combination of the scales of its components. Retrospective optimization options based on the results of the execution of expenditures in 2020 and promising options for optimizing the distribution of federal budget expenditures in 2022-2024 have been established.Conclusion. Assessment of the information content and optimization of the components’ scale of the budget expenditures’ composition are recognized as elements of management of the distribution of public resources in the budget process, ways to ensure control over the effectiveness of budget decisions and can be useful for participants in the budget process both at the stage of formation and at the stage of execution of budget expenditures.
俄罗斯联邦预算和预算程序的信息内容评估
本文致力于从评估其信息内容(研究主体)的角度对联邦预算支出构成(研究对象)进行统计研究的结果。该报告的作者认为,预算决定的信息内容问题不仅没有得到预算过程参与者的适当注意,而且在一般公共行政实践中也没有得到应有的注意。因此,本研究的目的是形成科学的工具来评估联邦预算支出分配中的信息含量,确定其量化指标,明确其性质、隐藏特征和平衡。材料和方法。基于2014-2020年联邦财政部统计数据,对联邦预算支出构成参数进行分析。本文的理论基础和研究方法是根据作者对国内科学家在协同信息理论、系统结构分析和社会模块化理论等领域的概念和应用发展成果的偏好而发展起来的。采用定量方法处理初始数据,表格和图形方法将研究结果可视化。使用标准的Microsoft Office应用软件包来解决研究任务。提出了多组分系统组成的信息含量指标及其计算算法。确定了量化标准,并提出了优化联邦预算支出构成的模型。将信息内容的实际指数和模型指数进行比较,作为调整联邦预算支出构成中的优先事项的一种方法;作为制定从支出构成的实际参数向“最佳”分配过渡的战术和战略的一种方式,“最佳”分配是由其组成规模的最佳组合的定量模型所描述的。建立了基于2020年支出执行结果的回溯优化方案和优化2022-2024年联邦预算支出分配的前景方案。评估预算支出构成的信息内容和优化预算支出构成的组成部分规模被认为是预算过程中公共资源分配管理的要素,是确保控制预算决策有效性的方法,对预算过程参与者在预算支出形成阶段和执行阶段都是有用的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
175
期刊介绍: The Review of Economics and Statistics is a 100-year-old general journal of applied (especially quantitative) economics. Edited at the Harvard Kennedy School, the Review has published some of the most important articles in empirical economics.
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