Air defense threat assessment based on dynamic Bayesian network

Yi Wang, Yuan Sun, Ji-Ying Li, Sun-Tao Xia
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引用次数: 20

Abstract

By understanding the process of threat assessment, the evaluation parameters, which affect threat level, have been analyzed comprehensively. Then the threat assessment of the Bayesian network model has been established. The dynamic Bayesian network reasoning method is used to estimate threat so that the objective factors and individual characteristics of different time slices of the same characteristics can correct each other. This method overcomes the subjectivity and uncertainty of expert assessment partially. Simulation results show that the threat level based on dynamic Bayesian network evaluation algorithm is an effective assessment algorithm, the results can more accurately reflect the true source of the threat level of threat.
基于动态贝叶斯网络的防空威胁评估
在了解威胁评估过程的基础上,对影响威胁等级的评估参数进行了综合分析。然后建立了贝叶斯网络的威胁评估模型。采用动态贝叶斯网络推理方法对威胁进行估计,使同一特征的不同时间片的客观因素和个体特征相互校正。该方法在一定程度上克服了专家评价的主观性和不确定性。仿真结果表明,基于动态贝叶斯网络的威胁等级评估算法是一种有效的评估算法,其结果能更准确地反映威胁等级的真实来源。
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