L. Partain, Shirley Hansen, A. Newland, L. Fraas, J. Stagner, James Stack, Richard Hansen
{"title":"Transitioning to Solar Cell and Wind Power Before Climate Change Threatens World Civilization","authors":"L. Partain, Shirley Hansen, A. Newland, L. Fraas, J. Stagner, James Stack, Richard Hansen","doi":"10.1109/PVSC.2018.8548217","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Regression analysis of measured atmospheric CO<inf>2</inf> concentrations, global mean surface temperatures and human-managed world-GDP indicate that Paris Agreement thresholds of temperature rises of 1.5 and 2 ° C will be reached in 2026 and 2038 + 7 years respectively unless fossil fuel burning is sharply reduced. City of Palo Alto Utilities’ 2017 electricity generation was 100% renewables and that of Stanford University was 68%. The California Independent System Operator is well on its way to supplying mandated 33% of the state's electricity from renewables by 2020 and 50% by 2030. However raising that to 100% will be very challenging but not impossible.","PeriodicalId":6558,"journal":{"name":"2018 IEEE 7th World Conference on Photovoltaic Energy Conversion (WCPEC) (A Joint Conference of 45th IEEE PVSC, 28th PVSEC & 34th EU PVSEC)","volume":"111 1","pages":"2467-2472"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2018-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2018 IEEE 7th World Conference on Photovoltaic Energy Conversion (WCPEC) (A Joint Conference of 45th IEEE PVSC, 28th PVSEC & 34th EU PVSEC)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/PVSC.2018.8548217","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Abstract
Regression analysis of measured atmospheric CO2 concentrations, global mean surface temperatures and human-managed world-GDP indicate that Paris Agreement thresholds of temperature rises of 1.5 and 2 ° C will be reached in 2026 and 2038 + 7 years respectively unless fossil fuel burning is sharply reduced. City of Palo Alto Utilities’ 2017 electricity generation was 100% renewables and that of Stanford University was 68%. The California Independent System Operator is well on its way to supplying mandated 33% of the state's electricity from renewables by 2020 and 50% by 2030. However raising that to 100% will be very challenging but not impossible.
对实测大气二氧化碳浓度、全球平均地表温度和人为控制的世界gdp的回归分析表明,除非化石燃料燃烧大幅减少,否则将在2026年和2038 + 7年分别达到《巴黎协定》规定的温度上升1.5°C和2°C的阈值。帕洛阿尔托市公用事业公司2017年的发电量是100%的可再生能源,斯坦福大学的发电量是68%。加州独立系统运营商(The California Independent System Operator)正在努力实现到2020年可再生能源发电占该州电力总量的33%,到2030年达到50%的目标。然而,将这一比例提高到100%将非常具有挑战性,但并非不可能。