The Condition of Companies and their Growth Based on the Example of Companies Included in WIG and DAX Indices

Monika Bolek, Agata Gniadkowska-Szymańska
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The purpose of the article/hypothesis: The paper discusses the problem of condition of companies together with their growth measured by earnings per share, sales, assets and equity. The condition of a company in a capital market is considered good when the goal of the business is achieved, namely the increase of value that occurs with the increase of earnings per share. We assume that the condition of companies measured by Altman’s Z-score Model scores is related to their growth, and ratios applied in this model influence the growth of companies measured by EPS, sales, assets and equity. The research is conducted in two groups of companies, one representing WIG listed entities and the other one comprising DAX listed companies. Methodology: The growth of earnings per share is considered as a measure of companies’ value creation. The growth of EPS should be related to the growth of sales, assets and equity according to the growth theory. To analyze the influence of Altman’s Z-score Model on the growth of EPS, sales, assets and equity, the Pearson and Spearman correlation is applied in the first place. Moreover, logit models are applied to analyze the influence of ratios composing the Altman’s Z-score Model on the growth of EPS, sales, assets and equity. Results of the research: Discriminant models can be applied for the assessment of the economic condition of companies but the interpretation of the results should take into account the fact that risky strategies identified by Altman’s Z-score Model as dangerous are related to the higher growth of earnings per share, therefore, there should be a negative relationship between Altman’s Z-score Model scores and EPS growth and it was confirmed in this study.
公司状况及其成长性——以WIG指数和DAX指数为例
本文的目的/假设:本文讨论了公司的条件问题,以及以每股收益、销售额、资产和股权衡量公司的增长。在资本市场上,当公司的经营目标实现,即随着每股收益的增加而产生的价值增加时,公司的状况就被认为是良好的。我们假设Altman Z-score模型得分衡量的公司的状况与其成长性相关,该模型中应用的比率影响每股收益、销售额、资产和权益衡量的公司的成长性。研究在两组公司中进行,一组代表WIG上市实体,另一组包括DAX上市公司。方法:每股收益的增长被认为是衡量公司价值创造的一个指标。根据增长理论,每股收益的增长应该与销售额、资产和权益的增长有关。为了分析Altman的Z-score模型对每股收益、销售额、资产和权益增长的影响,首先使用Pearson和Spearman相关性。运用logit模型分析构成Altman Z-score模型的比率对每股收益、销售额、资产和权益增长的影响。研究结果:判别模型可以用于评估公司的经济状况,但结果的解释应该考虑到Altman的Z-score模型识别为危险的风险策略与每股收益的较高增长有关,因此,Altman的Z-score模型得分与每股收益增长之间应该存在负相关关系,这在本研究中得到了证实。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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24 weeks
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