Argentine Chaotic Term Length Series in an American Historical Context

C. Felice, G. A. Ruiz
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Abstract

The political stability of a government depends on the norms that come from a state of rights. Several metrics have been proposed to measure political stability, but they must be applied carefully to individual countries or to compare countries. In the related literature the cultural factors are not directly considered and are limited to quantifying their practical effects. Concepts such as contempt for authority have not been directly quantified. This study proposes indicators that account for the cultural concept of contempt for authority and permit a rapid quantitative and visual analysis of the political stability of a country or province throughout its history. A specific historical analysis for the Republic of Argentina between the 16th and 21st centuries was realized. The results found indicate 1) the permanence of socially toxic behavior patterns in Argentina and other Latin American countries, 2) that inherited cultural causes could explain the high political instability in Argentina over the last 500 years and 3) a succession of singles term length by ruler during decades could be used to stabilize a country.
美国历史背景下的阿根廷混沌期长序列
一个政府的政治稳定取决于来自人权国家的规范。人们提出了几个衡量政治稳定性的指标,但必须谨慎地将它们应用于个别国家或进行国家间比较。在相关文献中,文化因素没有直接考虑,仅限于量化其实际影响。对权威的蔑视等概念还没有被直接量化。这项研究提出了一些指标,这些指标说明了蔑视权威的文化概念,并允许对一个国家或省份在其历史上的政治稳定性进行快速定量和直观的分析。对16世纪至21世纪的阿根廷共和国进行了具体的历史分析。研究结果表明:1)阿根廷和其他拉丁美洲国家社会有毒行为模式的持久性;2)继承的文化原因可以解释阿根廷过去500年来的高度政治不稳定性;3)几十年来统治者的连续单一任期可以用来稳定一个国家。
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