The Greek and the Norwegian Shipping Industries: Why Are These Two at the Top of the 13 Global Shipping Nations for So Long?

Alexandros M. Goulielmos
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

We compared Greece with Norway in ship-owning endeavors since 1900. We revealed the common characteristics and properties of the 2 countries, being admittedly in the top 13 positions till nowadays. We revealed also the differ-ences. The countries handled, however, the phenomenon of the flags of convenience differently. Both suffered disastrous events like the Great War, the 1929-1933 depression and the 2 nd WW, which harmed—if not equally—their Merchant Fleets. A random effect we showed to be crucial, however, and this was: the 1975-1987 “tanker & dry cargo depression”. Norway, a par excellence “tanker nation”, till today, felt deeper this tanker depression—and the following dry cargo one—losing part of its fleet. Greece—a “bulk carriers” nation—till today—accelerated its tonnage growth by leaps and bounds, after 1987, and as a result, owned 85 m dwt in March 1988 and 355 m dwt in March 2022! Both countries were poor, agricultural, and small, with no significant own capital, having only good sailors, ship-owners, many islands, and few shipbuilders (especially Norway)! But, they found the way: 1) to become the first merchants and ship-owners, and subsequently only ship-owners; 2) to get rid of their smallness, by targeting at serving the entire seaborne trade; 3) to dominate in an important part of the sea transportation businesses: the “tramp” shipping and the “cross-trading”. There—as shown—the higher but riskier revenue is to be found… We showed also that behind the above achievements, 3 factors are essential: a) to be competitive, b) not to rely too much on flags of convenience (as their correlation coefficient was found very low); and c) to carry out investments in new buildings and/or in 2 nd hand ships, applying mainly the perfect timing strategy
希腊和挪威航运业:为什么这两个国家在全球13个航运国中名列前茅?
我们比较了希腊和挪威自1900年以来在拥有船舶方面的努力。我们揭示了这两个国家的共同特征和属性,直到今天,这两个国家都无可否认地排在前13位。我们也揭示了差异。然而,各国对方便旗现象的处理方式不同。两国都遭受了灾难性的事件,如第一次世界大战、1929-1933年的大萧条和第二次世界大战,这些事件损害了——如果不是同等程度的话——它们的商船队。然而,我们发现了一个至关重要的随机效应,那就是:1975-1987年的“油轮和干货萧条”。直到今天,挪威,一个卓越的“油轮之国”,对这次油轮萧条——以及随后的干货萧条——的感受更深,失去了一部分船队。直到今天,希腊还是一个“散货船”国家,1987年之后,它的吨位突飞猛进地增长,结果,1988年3月拥有85万载重吨,2022年3月拥有3.55万载重吨!这两个国家都是贫穷的小农业国,没有重要的自有资本,只有优秀的水手、船主、许多岛屿和很少的造船厂(尤其是挪威)!但是,他们找到了方法:1)成为第一批商人和船主,后来只成为船主;2)摆脱规模小,以服务整个海运贸易为目标;3)在海上运输业务的重要组成部分:“不定期”运输和“交叉贸易”中占据主导地位。我们还发现,在上述成就的背后,有3个因素至关重要:a)具有竞争力,b)不要过于依赖便利标志(因为它们的相关系数非常低);c)对新建筑和/或二手船进行投资,主要应用完美的时机策略
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