Analisis Alih Fungsi Lahan Menggunakan Regresi Logistik Ordinal

A. Apriani, Bayurohman Pangacella Putra
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Abstract

The occurrence of landslides can not be separated from conditions that are prone to landslide movements such as steep slopes and high rainfall. The occurrence of landslides is also exacerbated by the indiscipline of the community in using land according to its function, which is called land conversion which can be a trigger factor for landslides. Conducting research on land use change is important to see the impact caused by human activities. The purpose of this study was to analyze the effect of land conversion on landslide hazard levels in Samigaluh District, Kulon Progo Regency. The method in this research was descriptive quantitative using primary data, namely field surveys and secondary data collection. The steps on this research were conducting field observations about the occurrence of land conversion and then retrieving level of landslide hazard at the observation point of land use change. Data analysis was performed using ordinal logistic regression. The result of the analysis showed that the p value (0.036) <0.05 which meant H0 was rejected. Thus, at the 95% confidence level it could be said that the variable of land use change affected the level of landslide hazard in Samigaluh District, Kulon Progo Regency. This output could be considered for the community to use the land according to its function.  Key words: Land Function Change; Landslide; Ordinal
利用序性物流回归来分析土地功能
滑坡的发生离不开坡度陡、雨量大等易发生滑坡运动的条件。社会不按其功能使用土地也加剧了山体滑坡的发生,这被称为土地转换,这可能是引发山体滑坡的因素。开展土地利用变化研究对于了解人类活动造成的影响非常重要。摘要本研究旨在分析库隆普罗戈县Samigaluh区土地改造对滑坡灾害等级的影响。本研究采用描述性定量的方法,利用第一手资料,即实地调查和二次资料收集。本研究的步骤是对土地利用变化发生情况进行实地观测,然后在土地利用变化观测点反演滑坡危害等级。数据分析采用有序逻辑回归。分析结果显示,p值(0.036)<0.05,即H0被拒绝。因此,在95%的置信水平下,可以说土地利用变化变量影响了库隆普罗戈县Samigaluh区的滑坡灾害等级。这个产出可以考虑让社区根据其功能来使用土地。关键词:土地功能变化;滑坡;序数
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