Assessing the impact of changing environment on coal mining water use in China

Bingxuan Wang , Jianyun Zhang , Xiaojun Wang , Xu Zhang
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Abstract

The unequal distribution of coal and water resources, coupled with efforts to enhance coal production efficiency, has exacerbated the issue of water scarcity in China’s coal mining industry. There is an urgent need to analyze the impact mechanism of external environmental changes on coal mining water use. With partial least square regression and vector autoregressive model under the framework of STIRPAT (stochastic impacts by regression on population, affluence, and technology) model, this paper systematically investigates the impact of population, economic level, energy consumption structure, and water intensity on coal mining water use, as well as the long-term dynamic response of coal mining water use to various variables. Results show a significant positive correlation between the economic level and coal mining water use, and the economic level has the greatest impact on changes in coal mining water use. Water intensity is negatively correlated with water used for coal mining. Decreasing water intensity in coal mining has a rebound effect. Water intensity shows a negative effect in the short term, but gradually disappears in the long run. Energy consumption structure positively correlated with coal mining, but its correlation and influence degree are weak. Promote green and low-carbon energy transformation, water-saving technologies application, and unconventional water utilization, and further improve the sustainable development guarantee capacity of the coal industry.

环境变化对中国煤矿用水影响的评估
煤炭和水资源的不平等分配,加上提高煤炭生产效率的努力,加剧了中国煤矿业的缺水问题。迫切需要分析外部环境变化对煤矿用水的影响机制。在STIRPAT(回归对人口、富裕和技术的随机影响)模型框架下,采用偏最小二乘回归和向量自回归模型,系统地研究了人口、经济水平、能源消费结构和水强度对煤矿用水的影响,以及煤矿用水对各种变量的长期动态响应。结果表明,经济水平与煤矿用水呈正相关,经济水平对煤矿用水变化的影响最大。水强度与煤矿用水呈负相关。降低煤矿开采中的水强度具有反弹效应。水强度在短期内表现出负面影响,但从长远来看逐渐消失。能源消费结构与煤矿开采呈正相关,但其相关性和影响程度较弱。推进能源绿色低碳转型、节水技术应用和非常规用水,进一步提高煤炭行业可持续发展保障能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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