Generational cycles and changes in time and space

IF 1.1 Q3 GEOGRAPHY
M. Kowalski
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

The cyclical character of definite processes observed under both Polish and American conditions in fact emerges as of a universal nature, finding its analogies throughout the world, though first and foremost within the European cultural circle. It is also possible to speak of its far reaching synchronicity, encompassing change on both local and global scales. This is witnessed by successive culminations of cycles with the French Revolution and Napoleonic Wars, the revolutionary surges of the 1830s and 1840s, the events of the 1860s and 1870s, the turbulences and wars of the early 20th century (notably World War I), then World War II, the great transformations of the 1980s, and the recently observed increase in political tension in various parts of the world (e.g. the Middle East, Ukraine, etc.). In the economic sphere the symptoms are shifts in the business climate, which can even be calculated by reference to quantitative indicators. Then, in the sphere of culture, it is possible to denote successive periods in literature and the arts. In the political sphere in turn, events that shape the state or territorial order are to be observed readily. The present article thus seeks to propose the existence of a universal and synchronous 30-40 years long generation cycle, which manifests itself in real symptoms in the world of politics, and for instance in the cyclicity seen to characterise intensity of change on the political map of Europe.
代际循环和时空变化
在波兰和美国的条件下观察到的确定过程的周期性特征实际上具有普遍的性质,在世界各地都可以找到类似的情况,尽管首先是在欧洲文化圈内。也可以说它具有深远的同步性,包括地方和全球范围的变化。法国大革命和拿破仑战争周期的连续高潮,19世纪30年代和40年代的革命浪潮,19世纪60年代和70年代的事件,20世纪初的动荡和战争(特别是第一次世界大战),然后是第二次世界大战,20世纪80年代的巨大变革,以及最近观察到的世界各地政治紧张局势的增加(例如中东,乌克兰等)都见证了这一点。在经济领域,症状是商业环境的变化,这甚至可以通过参考定量指标来计算。然后,在文化领域,可以表示文学和艺术的连续时期。反过来,在政治领域,塑造国家或领土秩序的事件也很容易被观察到。因此,本文试图提出存在一种普遍和同步的30-40年长生成周期,这在政治世界中表现为实际症状,例如在欧洲政治地图上变化强度的周期性特征中。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Geographia Polonica
Geographia Polonica GEOGRAPHY-
CiteScore
2.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
9
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