{"title":"Human capital and labour market resilience over time: a regional perspective of the Portuguese case","authors":"Marta C. N. Simões, J. Andrade, Adelaide Duarte","doi":"10.47743/ejes-2022-0102","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This study examines the link between human capital and labour market resilience in the seven Portuguese NUTS-2 regions over the period 1995-2018. We use the Local Projection methodology (LPM) to estimate a SVAR model with three variables (employment, human capital, output) conditioning the response of the labour market to two scenarios depending on whether a shock to GDP occurs during recessions or during expansions, with output gap as the switching variable for the identification of recession and expansion regimes. The comparison of the employment responses to GDP shocks between the two regimes is informative about the degree of resilience of the labour market. We find evidence of: (i) distinct effects in terms of the sign and amplitude of GDP shocks on regional employment according to the level of educational attainment of employees; (ii) labour market resilience but jobless recoveries in several regions; and (iii) different regional reactions of human capital to GDP shocks depending on the regime.","PeriodicalId":43713,"journal":{"name":"Eastern Journal of European Studies","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.7000,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"2","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Eastern Journal of European Studies","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.47743/ejes-2022-0102","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"AREA STUDIES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Abstract
This study examines the link between human capital and labour market resilience in the seven Portuguese NUTS-2 regions over the period 1995-2018. We use the Local Projection methodology (LPM) to estimate a SVAR model with three variables (employment, human capital, output) conditioning the response of the labour market to two scenarios depending on whether a shock to GDP occurs during recessions or during expansions, with output gap as the switching variable for the identification of recession and expansion regimes. The comparison of the employment responses to GDP shocks between the two regimes is informative about the degree of resilience of the labour market. We find evidence of: (i) distinct effects in terms of the sign and amplitude of GDP shocks on regional employment according to the level of educational attainment of employees; (ii) labour market resilience but jobless recoveries in several regions; and (iii) different regional reactions of human capital to GDP shocks depending on the regime.
期刊介绍:
The Eastern Journal of European Studies (EJES) seeks to provide a forum for multidisciplinary and interdisciplinary dialogue between ideas, and a framework for theoretical and empirical analyses covering major topics in European studies: European history, politics, European economy and European policies, EU community law, European culture and society. EJES encourages studies focusing on Central and Eastern Europe (including Eastern Neighbourhood) in order to better understand its transformations induced by the integration process and to address its specific challenges by supporting scientific debates on the general European theory and practice. Furthermore, the editorial board regularly invites distinguished guest editors to coordinate thematic issues.