Descriptive and Critical Review of Multiregional Econometric Models of the United States

A. Herman
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Author(s): Herman, Amy L. | Abstract: Many methodological tools exist for use by regional planners and policy analysts concerned with the implications of federal and regional policies for regional economies. Regional and multire­ gional econometric models represent a class of such tools not widely available for public use outside their institutional settings. The purpose of such models is to provide economic forecasting and policy simulations with analytic flexibility. Accordingly, the methods employed in developing econometric models differ sub­ stantially from those of other national or regional analysis methods because they are not consistently subjected to theoretic or account­ ing restrictions. For example, instead of relying solely on export­ base, input-output, or linear programming analysis, the emphasis in the development of econometric models is placed on their ability to model economic behavior empirically. While this may often involve the application of rigid theoretic constructs or accounting frameworks, the charm is that the constructs can be altered or com­ bined to suit the economy as perceived by the modeler, thereby increasing the model's potential value and usability.
美国多区域计量经济模型的描述性和批判性回顾
摘要:对于联邦和区域政策对区域经济的影响,区域规划者和政策分析师可以使用许多方法工具。区域和多区域计量经济模型代表了此类工具的一类,在其机构设置之外不广泛为公众使用。这些模型的目的是提供具有分析灵活性的经济预测和政策模拟。因此,用于发展计量经济模型的方法与其他国家或地区的分析方法有本质上的不同,因为它们不始终受到理论或会计的限制。例如,计量经济模型的发展重点在于它们对经济行为进行经验模拟的能力,而不是仅仅依赖于出口基础、投入产出或线性规划分析。虽然这可能经常涉及应用严格的理论结构或会计框架,但其魅力在于这些结构可以被改变或组合以适应建模者所感知的经济,从而增加模型的潜在价值和可用性。
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来源期刊
Berkeley Planning Journal
Berkeley Planning Journal Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
5
期刊介绍: The Berkeley Planning Journal is an annual peer-reviewed journal, published by graduate students in the Department of City and Regional Planning (DCRP) at the University of California, Berkeley since 1985.
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