Rationality for Engineers: Part I- Setting the scene

S. Yasseri
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Article History: Received: 25 Feb. 2021 Accepted: 04 Jun. 2021 The truly complex element of modern times is not the technology, but the engineers who develop, design, manufacture, and maintain it. An engineer’s job is to change/improve existing situations into more desirable ones, as well as to respond to the demands or needs of society. Engineers cannot wait until all phenomena and their implications are well understood. Engineers have worked for centuries solving problems with limited information and knowledge and are presumed to be rational decision-makers. Then, how do engineers make their decisions with limited knowledge, time, and cognitive capacity in a variety of domains? Engineers require understanding what part of information can be ignored, and what situations require fast, and timely response, resulting hopefully in a better decision by freeing cognitive capacity to make it. A rational decision-maker should choose an option that maximizes the expected benefits (utilities), although there may be significant hurdles in achieving such goals, especially in emergencies where time pressure is acute. To overcome these hurdles, most engineers revert to “rules-of-thumb”, also known as heuristics. Heuristics are experience-based methods of gut feelings that can be used as an aid to solve specific problems in a particular environment. Heuristics, however, are imperfect; thus, engineers must understand their limitations. Their applicability is also limited by the context under which they were derived as well as their fit with the environment of the problem at hand. The overall objective of these four-part papers is to discuss heuristics and how they can make decision-making easier and faster for engineers. These papers also remind them of their own cognitive biases and describe ways of avoiding them. This first part aims to set the scene by providing background information. These papers address the type of rationality that engineers need to be effective build on the existing literature and liberally draws from them. Engineers cannot march on the spot while thinking for a solution, they must think while moving forward, thus there is a danger not starting on the right foot.
工程师的理性:第一部分-背景
文章历史:收稿日期:2021年2月25日接收日期:2021年6月4日现代真正复杂的元素不是技术,而是开发,设计,制造和维护它的工程师。工程师的工作是改变/改善现有的情况,使之更令人满意,并对社会的要求或需要作出反应。工程师不能等到所有的现象及其含义都被很好地理解。几个世纪以来,工程师们一直在用有限的信息和知识解决问题,并被认为是理性的决策者。那么,在知识、时间和认知能力有限的情况下,工程师如何在各种领域做出决策呢?工程师需要了解哪些信息可以被忽略,哪些情况需要快速、及时的响应,从而释放认知能力,做出更好的决策。一个理性的决策者应该选择一个使预期收益(效用)最大化的选项,尽管在实现这些目标方面可能存在重大障碍,特别是在时间紧迫的紧急情况下。为了克服这些障碍,大多数工程师回归到“经验法则”,也被称为启发式。启发式是基于直觉的经验方法,可以用来帮助解决特定环境中的特定问题。然而,启发式是不完美的;因此,工程师必须了解它们的局限性。它们的适用性也受到推导它们的背景以及它们与手头问题的环境的适合程度的限制。这四部分论文的总体目标是讨论启发式以及它们如何使工程师的决策更容易和更快。这些论文还提醒他们注意自己的认知偏见,并描述了避免这些偏见的方法。第一部分旨在通过提供背景信息来设置场景。这些论文解决了工程师需要有效地建立在现有文献上的理性类型,并从中自由地借鉴。工程师不能一边原地踏步一边思考解决方案,他们必须一边思考一边前进,因此没有从正确的角度出发是有危险的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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