Population estimates and projections.

Lacey E. Loftin
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引用次数: 169

Abstract

The Census Bureau revises population projections only as , usually every 2 or 3 years. Although the most recent of Census Bureau projections of the U.S. population nt Population Reports, Series P-25, No. 704) was ced over 3 years ago, revision is not yet necessary. s in fertility, mortality, and migration since the 1, 1976, base date of these projections have been similar the short-range changes projected in the middle series ies II). More importantly, no subsequent information a convincing case for changing the long-range ptions. Revised projections can thus await the results the 1980 census. In the meantime, this report provides guidance to the continued use of the 1977 national ons for both the short and long run. TOTAL POPULATION
人口估计和预测。
人口普查局通常每2或3年修订一次人口预测。虽然人口普查局对美国人口的最新预测(人口报告,P-25系列,第704号)是在3年前完成的,但尚未需要修订。自1976年1月1日以来,这些预测的基准日期在生育率、死亡率和移徙方面的变化与中期系列预测的短期变化相似(2)。更重要的是,没有后续信息能够令人信服地证明改变长期选择。因此,订正预测可以等待1980年人口普查的结果。同时,本报告为继续短期和长期使用1977年国家标准提供指导。总人口
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