Survival prediction comparison of liver cancer different staging criteria on liver cancer resection

P. Cui, D. Cheng, Yanmei Ma, Youfu Zhang, Yu-Shin Song
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Abstract

Objective To investigate the prediction value of liver cancer different staging criteria on liver cancer resection. Methods Clinical data of 218 cases with advanced liver cancer in four hospitals were selected. All patients were scored by CS、CLIP、TNM staging and OKUDA. Evaluated this four staging systems on survival prediction value of 6 month advanced liver cancer. COX proportional hazard model was used to eliminate likelihood estimator in order to judge which staging criteria had better prognosis prediction. Results Follow-up period of 218 cases was 2-36 month, average follow-up time was (22.34±5.89) month, three-year survival rate was 33.94%, median survival time was 25.38 month. Of the four staging methods, degree of distinction was better TNM staging、OKUDA staging criteria. At the mean time,homogeneity,discrimination power,gradient singularity of TNM staging and OKUDA staging criteria all had higher contributed value. Conclusions Application of TNM staging, OKUDA on liver cancer resection have better survival prediction value. Key words: Liver cancer; Staging criteria; Survival prediction; COX proportional hazard model
肝癌切除术后不同分期标准的生存预测比较
目的探讨肝癌不同分期标准对肝癌切除术的预测价值。方法选取4家医院218例晚期肝癌患者的临床资料。所有患者采用CS、CLIP、TNM分期及OKUDA评分。评价这四种分期对晚期6个月肝癌的生存预测价值。采用COX比例风险模型剔除似然估计量,以判断哪一分期标准对预后预测较好。结果218例患者随访2 ~ 36个月,平均随访时间为(22.34±5.89)个月,3年生存率为33.94%,中位生存时间为25.38个月。四种分期方法中,以TNM分期、OKUDA分期标准区分程度较好。同时,TNM分期和OKUDA分期标准的同质性、辨别力、梯度奇异性均有较高的贡献值。结论应用TNM分期、OKUDA对肝癌切除术有较好的生存预测价值。关键词:肝癌;分级标准;生存的预测;COX比例风险模型
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