Deterrence or Numbness? Insights into the Psychological Effects of the Encirclement Patrols Conducted by People’s Liberation Army Vessels and Aircraft around Taiwan

IF 0.3 4区社会学 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

Korean Journal of Defense Analysis Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI:10.22883/KJDA.2020.32.1.008

Yi-Ming Yu, Wen-Cheng Fu, Li-Wei Lin, Chien-An Ke

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Abstract

This study investigated the psychological effects of the long-term military intimidation imposed by the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) on the Taiwanese public. Online texts dating between 2016 and 2018 were mined and Russell’s (1980) semantic analysis was used to analyze the online discussions among the Taiwanese public regarding the PLA vessels and aircraft patrolling around Taiwan. The results showed that the PLA’s long-term encirclement patrols have generated numbness among the Taiwanese public. With regard to the Taiwanese government’s policy of disclosing information about such military encirclement patrols, the effects of proliferating this information were not significant, but have led to an increased sense of fear among the public. These findings suggest that the effects of the PLA’s encirclement patrols around Taiwan are not determined by the PLA, but by the Taiwanese government’s policies regarding the disclosure of relevant information on encirclement patrols.

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威慑还是麻木?解放军舰机绕台包围巡逻的心理效应探析

摘要本研究旨在探讨解放军长期军事恫吓对台湾民众的心理影响。挖掘了2016年至2018年之间的在线文本，并使用Russell(1980)的语义分析来分析台湾公众对解放军舰艇和飞机在台湾巡逻的在线讨论。结果显示，解放军长期的包围巡逻已经使台湾民众麻木。对于台湾政府公开此类军事包围巡逻信息的政策，这种信息的扩散效果并不显著，但却导致公众的恐惧感增加。这些发现表明，解放军围台巡逻的效果不是由解放军决定的，而是由台湾政府关于围台巡逻相关信息披露的政策决定的。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Korean Journal of Defense Analysis INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS-

CiteScore

0.50

自引率

25.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Since its first publication in 1989, The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis has been covering a broad range of topics related to foreign policy, defense and international affairs in the Asia-Pacific region. As the oldest SSCI registered English journal of political science in Asia, The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis has promoted efforts to provide an arena for sharing initiatives and new perspectives on military and security issues of the Asia-Pacific region. To offer better support to this idea of active intercommunication amongst scholars and defense experts around the globe, The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis made a decision to publish quarterly, starting from 2005.