Структурный анализ безработицы в Российской Федерации

Зульфия Фануровна Ибрагимова, Г. И. Япарова-Абдулхаликова
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Research aim. The article analyzes the state of unemployment in theRussian Federation. Modern macroeconomic conditions and the state of the labor market necessitate identifying population groups, constituting unemployment risks. Both representatives of different schools of economic thought and modern Russian scholars devoted their work to studying unemployment problems and the need for government regulation of employment and unemployment. However, a more accurate characteristic of the level and state of unemployment requires a more thorough analysis. Materials and methods . In order to present the general picture of unemployment in theRussian Federation, structural analysis of the phenomenon is used with the help of corresponding indexes, which, in our opinion, make it possible to evaluate the level and state of unemployment in detail. Indexes of absolute structure changes, degree of absolute shift intensity were used for analysis, the level of concentration was determined etc. Results . The calculations revealed the most vulnerable groups in the structure of the unemployed, showing the necessity of searching for and applying new forms and tools of government policy for reducing the level of unemployment. According to the official statistics, the level of unemployment inRussia was 5.6 % in 2015. The labor market in theRussian Federation is characterized by a gender gap – unemployed men outnumber unemployed women by 7.8%. Besides, there is a consistent trend of increase in the number of university-educated unemployed people. According to the calculations, the percentage of women with higher and secondary education is higher than the share of men. The difference in the structure of the unemployed among women and men in regards to education is in average about 14% of the maximum possible. Quite a high level of youth unemployment (approximately 25%) describes the unstable position of the given group in the labor market. Calculations of Grofman, Kazinets and Ryabtsev indexes confirm it. Nevertheless, the level of concentration in distribution of unemployment among youth tends to decrease in recent years. Besides, there is a higher level of unemployment in the country as compared to the city. Unemployment in Russian regions is characterized by considerable irregularity, too. The level of unemployment amounts to 6–8% in the major territory of the country. The situation is worst in the Karachay-Cherkess andChechenRepublics, as well as in Ingushetia and Tyva. Conclusion. The analysis of unemployment revealed differences in the structure of the unemployed of different population groups. It suggests the reasonability of using new modern tools of government policy for solving unemployment problems. The most effective measures are the following: application of social partnership mechanism, stimulation of self-employment, small business support, personnel development, organization of public works, setting job quotas, economic support of employers, use of flexible employment forms of the population, information support of labor market, support of non-state services in the sphere of population employment.
俄罗斯联邦失业结构分析
研究的目标。本文分析了俄罗斯联邦的失业状况。现代宏观经济条件和劳动力市场的状况需要确定构成失业风险的人口群体。不同经济思想流派的代表人物和现代俄罗斯学者都致力于研究失业问题以及政府对就业和失业进行监管的必要性。然而,失业水平和状况的更准确特征需要更彻底的分析。材料和方法。为了呈现俄罗斯联邦失业的总体情况,在相应指数的帮助下,对这一现象进行了结构分析,我们认为,这可以详细评估失业的水平和状况。采用绝对结构变化、绝对移位强度、浓度测定等指标进行分析。结果。这些计算揭示了失业结构中最脆弱的群体,表明有必要寻求和应用新的政府政策形式和工具来降低失业水平。根据官方统计,2015年俄罗斯的失业率为5.6%。俄罗斯联邦劳动力市场的特点是性别差距——失业男性比失业女性多7.8%。此外,受过大学教育的失业人数呈持续增长的趋势。根据计算,受过高等和中等教育的妇女的比例高于男子的比例。失业妇女和失业男子在教育方面的结构差异平均约为最大可能差异的14%。相当高的青年失业率(约25%)说明了特定群体在劳动力市场上的不稳定地位。Grofman、Kazinets和Ryabtsev指数的计算证实了这一点。然而,近年来青年人失业分布的集中程度趋于下降。此外,与城市相比,农村的失业率更高。俄罗斯各地区的失业状况也具有相当不规律的特点。该国主要地区的失业率达6-8%。卡拉恰伊-切尔克斯共和国和车臣共和国以及印古什和特瓦的情况最为糟糕。结论。失业分析揭示了不同人口群体失业结构的差异。它提出了使用新的现代政府政策工具来解决失业问题的合理性。最有效的措施是:运用社会伙伴机制,鼓励个体经营,支持小企业,发展人才,组织公共工程,制定就业配额,对雇主提供经济支持,利用人口灵活就业形式,对劳动力市场提供信息支持,在人口就业领域支持非国有服务。
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