The Western Hemisphere countries and global food problem: current state and prospects

O. Ovchinnikov
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Abstract

The modern civilization has faced a number of problems of a planetary scale, and not only its condition, but, perhaps, its very existence will depend on solving these problems. One of the most urgent ones is the global food problem (GFP) – the ability of humanity to provide itself with sufficient food while fulfilling a number of related conditions within the framework of the concept of sustainable development. The article examines the state and possibility of solving the GFP in the Western Hemisphere, both in the region as a whole and in the context of individual countries. Following the structure of the GFP factors, the availability of natural resources for agricultural purposes, as well as the volume and sectoral structure of production of main agricultural products are analyzed. The author assesses the near-term prospects of the possibility of providing the population of individual countries with sufficient food by using model calculations that depend on two factors: availability of arable land and economic well-being (per capita GDP). Special attention is also paid to the analysis of the environmental aspect of the GFP, in assessing both the current state of the problem in the region and the prospects for its solution. This factor is seen as one of the keys to development of food systems in several Latin American countries. Certain attention is also paid to some "new" GFP factors, such as the problem of food losses (quite relevant for developed countries, especially for the United States), as well as logistics. Disruptions of logistical chains during market shocks (for example, during the COVID-19 pandemic) has posed a major problem for countries with highly developed food markets. In conclusion, the region's overall position in the global food system is seen as quite strong. At the same time, the differences between some countries on a number of indicators that determine the level of food security is very significant. Thus, the region’s prospects in terms of solving the GPP will largely depend on the ability/determination of individual countries to offset the negative impact of a number of GFP factors.
西半球国家与全球粮食问题:现状与展望
现代文明面临着许多全球性的问题,不仅它的生存状况,而且它的存在与否也许将取决于对这些问题的解决。其中最紧迫的问题之一是全球粮食问题,即人类在可持续发展概念框架内满足若干相关条件的同时为自己提供充足粮食的能力。本文考察了解决西半球GFP的状态和可能性,无论是在整个地区还是在个别国家的背景下。根据GFP因素的结构,分析了农业自然资源的可获得性,以及主要农产品的产量和部门结构。作者通过使用依赖于两个因素的模型计算来评估向个别国家的人口提供足够食物的可能性的近期前景:可耕地的可用性和经济福利(人均国内生产总值)。在评估该区域问题的现状和解决问题的前景时,还特别注意分析绿色生产力的环境方面。在一些拉丁美洲国家,这一因素被视为发展粮食系统的关键因素之一。一些“新的”GFP因素也得到了一定的关注,例如粮食损失问题(与发达国家,特别是美国相当相关)以及物流问题。在市场冲击期间(例如在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间),物流链中断对粮食市场高度发达的国家构成了一个重大问题。总之,该地区在全球粮食体系中的总体地位被视为相当强大。与此同时,一些国家在决定粮食安全水平的若干指标上的差异非常大。因此,该地区在解决GFP问题方面的前景将在很大程度上取决于个别国家抵消若干GFP因素的负面影响的能力/决心。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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