Useless Protest? A Time-Series Analysis of the Policy Outcomes of Ecology, Antinuclear, and Peace Movements in the United States, 1977-1995

IF 1.3 2区社会学 Q3 SOCIOLOGY

Mobilization Pub Date : 2007-02-01 DOI:10.17813/MAIQ.12.1.B05J1087V7PXG382

Marco Giugni

引用次数: 117

Abstract

I confront three models of the policy impact of social movements with data on the mobilization of ecology, antinuclear, and peace movements in the United States between 1975 and 1995 by means of time-series analysis: the direct-effect model, the indirect-effect model, and the joint- effect model. My analysis suggests that social movements have little, if any, impact on public policy and that, if they are to have an impact, it depends on the combination of overt protest activities, the type of issues they raise, and external resources such as public opinion and political alliances with institutional actors. Thus, it appears that, if they are to have a policy impact, movements need the joint occurence of mobilization, support from political allies, and public opinion favorable to the cause.

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没用的抗议?1977-1995年美国生态、反核与和平运动政策结果的时间序列分析

本文采用时间序列分析的方法，对1975年至1995年间美国生态运动、反核运动和和平运动的动员数据进行分析，得出了社会运动对政策影响的三种模型:直接效应模型、间接效应模型和联合效应模型。我的分析表明，社会运动对公共政策的影响很小，如果有的话，如果它们要产生影响，这取决于公开抗议活动的组合，他们提出的问题类型，以及外部资源，如公众舆论和与机构行动者的政治联盟。因此，如果要产生政策影响，运动需要动员、政治盟友的支持和有利于事业的舆论的共同发生。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Mobilization SOCIOLOGY-

CiteScore

3.80

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Mobilization: An International Quarterly is the premier journal of research specializing in social movements, protests, insurgencies, revolutions, and other forms of contentious politics. Mobilization was first published in 1996 to fill the need for a scholarly review of research that focused exclusively with social movements, protest and collective action. Mobilization is fully peer-reviewed and widely indexed. A 2003 study, when Mobilization was published semiannually, showed that its citation index rate was 1.286, which placed it among the top ten sociology journals. Today, Mobilization is published four times a year, in March, June, September, and December. The editorial board is composed of thirty internationally recognized scholars from political science, sociology and social psychology. The goal of Mobilization is to provide a forum for global, scholarly dialogue. It is currently distributed to the top international research libraries and read by the most engaged scholars in the field. We hope that through its wide distribution, different research strategies and theoretical/conceptual approaches will be shared among the global community of social movement scholars, encouraging a collaborative process that will further the development of a cumulative social science.