No impact of rural development policies? No synergies with CCTs? The IFAD-supported Gavião Project in Brazil

Q3 Social Sciences
L. Costa, S. Helfand, A. Souza
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Abstract: We estimate the impacts of an IFAD-supported rural development project (Pro-Gavião). Because public policies are frequently implemented simultaneously rather than in isolation, we also estimate the impacts of—and possible synergies with—the Brazilian conditional cash transfer (CCT) program Bolsa Família. Developed jointly by IFAD and the State Government of Bahia, Pro-Gavião was a rural development project in 13 contiguous municipalities between 1997 and 2005. Census tract level data were extracted for the analysis from the 1995-96 and 2006 Agricultural Censuses. The evaluation uses propensity score matching to construct a control group of untreated census tracts, and a difference-in-differences estimation to identify impacts. The outcomes analyzed include land productivity, agricultural income and child labor. Although Pro-Gavião involved significant investments in the region, the results suggest little if any program impact, or synergies between the two programs. The unexpected null findings are robust to alternative approaches to identifying the treated census tracts, matching techniques, and heterogeneity in several dimensions. We show that the lack of impacts is not driven by adverse rainfall in the treated communities, or the influence of other programs in the control communities. Alternative explanations for the null results are explored.
农村发展政策没有影响?与有条件现金转移支付没有协同效应?农发基金支持的巴西gavi项目
摘要:本文对农发基金支持的农村发展项目(pro - gavi)的影响进行了评估。由于公共政策往往是同时实施的,而不是孤立实施的,因此我们还估计了巴西有条件现金转移支付(CCT)计划Bolsa Família的影响及其可能的协同效应。由农发基金和巴伊亚州政府联合开发的pro - gavi项目是1997年至2005年期间在13个相邻城市开展的农村发展项目。从1995-96年和2006年农业普查中提取普查区水平数据进行分析。评估使用倾向得分匹配来构建未经处理的人口普查区的对照组,并使用差异中的差异估计来确定影响。分析的结果包括土地生产率、农业收入和童工。尽管pro - gavi项目在该地区投入了大量资金,但结果表明,该项目几乎没有任何影响,也没有两个项目之间的协同效应。意外的零发现是稳健的替代方法,以确定处理的人口普查区,匹配技术和异质性在几个维度。我们表明,缺乏影响不是由处理社区的不利降雨驱动的,也不是由控制社区的其他项目的影响驱动的。对零结果的其他解释进行了探讨。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural
Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural Social Sciences-Social Sciences (all)
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
81
审稿时长
21 weeks
期刊介绍: A Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural é uma publicação trimestral da Sociedade Brasileira de Economia e Sociologia Rural (SOBER). O seu objetivo é divulgar e difundir os resultados de pesquisas nas áreas de economia, administração, extensão e sociologia rural, e em conseqüência, promover e estimular o debate de temas e fatos de importância econômica e social, bem como colaborar no desenvolvimento científico e tecnológico, do Brasil e em outras partes do mundo. A abreviatura de seu título é Rev. Econ. Sociol. Rural, que deve ser usada em bibliografias, notas de rodapé e em referências e legendas bibliográficas.
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