The Coattail Effect in Multiparty Presidential Elections

IF 1.3 4区社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES

Asian Survey Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI:10.1525/as.2022.1501924

Djayadi Hanan, D. Irvani

引用次数: 3

Abstract

Many studies have been conducted about the presidential coattail effect in presidential democracies, but few have considered multiparty presidential elections. These few studies find that the effect does exist in multiparty presidential elections but their effect is unevenly distributed among the members of the party coalitions that nominate the presidential candidate. We follow these theoretical insights by presenting the case of Indonesia, the world’s largest multiparty presidential democracy. Using election result data and national survey data, including experimental surveys, we find that in Indonesia the size and direction of the presidential coattail effect depend on whether the party is a core or peripheral member of the coalition, its role in the coalition, and its size.

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多党总统选举中的尾巴效应

很多研究都是关于总统制民主国家的总统尾巴效应，但很少有人考虑到多党总统选举。这几项研究发现，这种效应在多党总统选举中确实存在，但其影响在提名总统候选人的政党联盟成员中分布不均。我们通过介绍世界上最大的多党总统制民主国家印度尼西亚的案例来遵循这些理论见解。利用选举结果数据和全国调查数据，包括实验调查，我们发现在印度尼西亚，总统尾巴效应的大小和方向取决于政党是联盟的核心成员还是外围成员，它在联盟中的角色，以及它的规模。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Asian Survey AREA STUDIES-

CiteScore

1.80

自引率

22.20%

发文量

期刊介绍： The only academic journal of its kind produced in the United States, Asian Survey provides a comprehensive retrospective of contemporary international relations within South, Southeast, and East Asian nations. As the Asian community’s matrix of activities becomes increasingly complex, it is essential to have a sourcebook for sound analysis of current events, governmental policies, socio-economic development, and financial institutions. In Asian Survey you’ll find that sourcebook. Asian Survey consistently publishes articles by leading American and foreign scholars, whose views supplement and contest meanings disseminated by the media.