Why Tickle the Dragon’s Tail?

IF 1.3 4区社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES

Asian Survey Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI:10.1525/as.2022.1806395

Ching-hsin Yu

引用次数: 0

Abstract

The security situatsssion across the Taiwan Strait has recently deteriorated rapidly. Scholars and policymakers have attributed this development to the concurrence of an increasingly assertive Communist Party in China, a unilateralist Trump administration in the US, and a new DPP government in Taiwan since 2016. For the Taiwanese, the security concern is on their doorstep, but their attitudes are under-studied. I find that judgments of China’s animosity to Taiwan, China’s importance for Taiwan’s economy, (dis)agreement with the “one country, two systems” formula, concern regarding developments in Hong Kong, (dis)agreement with alliance with Japan and the US, (dis)belief in the US’s security commitment to Taiwan, and perception of the comparative strength of China versus the US are closely associated with respondents’ choice to ally with China or the US. These findings also shed light on Taiwanese (over)optimism regarding the US’s role in the wake of Chinese invasion of Taiwan.

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为什么要挠龙尾?

台湾海峡两岸的安全局势最近迅速恶化。学者和政策制定者将这一发展归因于中国日益自信的共产党，美国单边主义的特朗普政府以及2016年以来台湾新的民进党政府的共同作用。对台湾人来说，安全问题就在他们家门口，但他们的态度却没有得到充分研究。我发现，对中国对台湾的敌意、中国对台湾经济的重要性、(不)同意“一国两制”方案、对香港发展的担忧、(不)同意与日本和美国结盟、(不)相信美国对台湾的安全承诺、以及对中国与美国比较实力的看法，与受访者选择与中国或美国结盟密切相关。这些发现也揭示了台湾人对美国在中国入侵台湾后扮演的角色(过度)乐观。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Asian Survey AREA STUDIES-

CiteScore

1.80

自引率

22.20%

发文量

期刊介绍： The only academic journal of its kind produced in the United States, Asian Survey provides a comprehensive retrospective of contemporary international relations within South, Southeast, and East Asian nations. As the Asian community’s matrix of activities becomes increasingly complex, it is essential to have a sourcebook for sound analysis of current events, governmental policies, socio-economic development, and financial institutions. In Asian Survey you’ll find that sourcebook. Asian Survey consistently publishes articles by leading American and foreign scholars, whose views supplement and contest meanings disseminated by the media.