On the growth of bibliographies with time: an exercise in bibliometric prediction

IF 1.7 3区管理学 Q2 INFORMATION SCIENCE & LIBRARY SCIENCE

Journal of Documentation Pub Date : 1990-02-01 DOI:10.1108/EB026847

N. L. Allinger, P. Schleyer

引用次数: 15

Abstract

Recent work has shown that potentially useful predictions of the circulation of library materials can be made which do not require very restrictive assumptions about underlying probability distributions. In the same spirit, we here consider one of the classic problems of bibliometrics, viz. predicting the number of ‘new’ journals carrying ‘relevant’ articles in the future, using both established parametric approaches and the newer, empirical methods.

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论书目数量随时间的增长:文献计量学预测的实践

最近的研究表明，可以对图书馆资料的流通进行潜在的有用预测，而不需要对潜在的概率分布进行非常严格的假设。本着同样的精神，我们在这里考虑文献计量学的一个经典问题，即预测未来发表“相关”文章的“新”期刊的数量，同时使用既定的参数方法和更新的经验方法。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Journal of Documentation INFORMATION SCIENCE & LIBRARY SCIENCE-

CiteScore

4.20

自引率

14.30%

发文量

期刊介绍： The scope of the Journal of Documentation is broadly information sciences, encompassing all of the academic and professional disciplines which deal with recorded information. These include, but are certainly not limited to: ■Information science, librarianship and related disciplines ■Information and knowledge management ■Information and knowledge organisation ■Information seeking and retrieval, and human information behaviour ■Information and digital literacies