Estimating mortality from annuities, insurance, and other life contingent contracts.

IF 1.6 2区 历史学 Q1 HISTORY
G. Alter
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

The author addresses "three problems in converting data from life contingent contracts into mortality estimates. First [he discusses] how age period and cohort effects can be identified and the construction of age specific mortality rates for periods and cohorts. Second an indirect standardization procedure for estimating the overall level of mortality from a partial life table [is] proposed. Third bias due to the selection of healthy nominees in annuities and insurance [is] discussed and shown to be a period effect of short duration." "The methods presented here were developed for use with the records of a life annuity sold in Amsterdam between 1586 and 1590 which are used for illustration." (EXCERPT)
估计因年金、保险和其他终身或有合同而导致的死亡率。
作者提出了“将生命或有合同数据转换为死亡率估计的三个问题”。首先,[他讨论]如何确定年龄阶段和群体效应,以及如何构建特定年龄阶段和群体的死亡率。其次,提出了一种间接标准化程序,用于从部分生命表估计死亡率的总体水平。第三种偏见是由于在年金和保险中选择健康的候选人而引起的,这是一种短期持续时间的时期效应。”“这里提出的方法是为了使用1586年至1590年间在阿姆斯特丹出售的终身年金记录而开发的,这些记录用于说明。”(摘录)
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来源期刊
Historical Methods
Historical Methods Multiple-
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
7.10%
发文量
13
期刊介绍: Historical Methodsreaches an international audience of social scientists concerned with historical problems. It explores interdisciplinary approaches to new data sources, new approaches to older questions and material, and practical discussions of computer and statistical methodology, data collection, and sampling procedures. The journal includes the following features: “Evidence Matters” emphasizes how to find, decipher, and analyze evidence whether or not that evidence is meant to be quantified. “Database Developments” announces major new public databases or large alterations in older ones, discusses innovative ways to organize them, and explains new ways of categorizing information.
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