Path Dependence and the Evolution of a Patchwork Economy: Evidence from Western Australia, 1981–2008

P. Plummer, M. Tonts
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引用次数: 11

Abstract

Within economic geography, the use of evolutionary concepts is gaining increasing traction in our understanding of the dynamics of capitalist space economies. There is an emerging literature exploring the nature of the processes driving path dependence on the assumption that such a process actually exists. In contrast, here, we consider the logically prior question of whether path dependence exists and how we might detect it at the regional scale. In the context of the emergence of evolutionary thinking, we consider the efficacy of the notion of path dependence for the analysis of local economic development. Our contribution is both conceptual and methodological, exploring the possibilities and limitations of employing contemporary econometric techniques to identify path dependence. To stress test our empirical model, we ground our analysis in the context of the dynamics of the peripheral resource-dependent and export-oriented economy of Western Australia over the course of the recent resource boom. The case study provides evidence of path dependence, supporting the relevance of evolutionary thinking in economic geography.
路径依赖与拼凑经济的演化:来自西澳大利亚1981-2008年的证据
在经济地理学中,进化概念的使用在我们对资本主义空间经济动态的理解中越来越有吸引力。有一个新兴的文献探索驱动路径依赖的过程的本质,假设这样的过程实际上存在。相反,在这里,我们考虑路径依赖是否存在以及我们如何在区域尺度上检测它的逻辑先验问题。在进化思维出现的背景下,我们考虑路径依赖概念对地方经济发展分析的功效。我们的贡献是概念上和方法上的,探索使用当代计量经济学技术来识别路径依赖的可能性和局限性。为了对我们的经验模型进行压力测试,我们将分析置于西澳大利亚州周边资源依赖型和出口导向型经济在最近资源繁荣过程中的动态背景下。该案例研究提供了路径依赖的证据,支持了经济地理学中进化思维的相关性。
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