Statistical Time to Event Analysis in the Social Sciences: Modeling Hazard Rate and Duration in Finance

Abstract

Abstract. The relevance of statistical time to event analysis in the social sciences has proved to be of great importance in the last few years, especially in applications related to labor-market analysis, employment and/or unemployment issues, duration of strikes, and survival of new firms, and in financial applications related to the time a company spends in a given status, for example, bankruptcy. We review some of the techniques that have proved to be adequate for analyzing this type of data and the conditions they require for their proper use. In addition, we extend these techniques in order to be able to analyze specific and more complex situations by using a more general and flexible model. All of these techniques and their extensions are illustrated with an example that studies the duration of firms under bankruptcy in the United States.