Personal decision aiding: Some observations about the Beach birth-planning procedure

J.Frank Yates, William M. Goldstein
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

The decision-aiding procedure developed by Beach and his colleagues for birth planning is reviewed. It is shown that the models underlying the Beach procedure have some unusual and problematic formal consequences. Contrary to the claims of Beach et al., the procedure cannot rely on a simple interpretation of standard utility theory for its justification. It is noted that, despite its formal difficulties, the Beach procedure has a unique feature for alerting the decision maker to potentially significant outcomes which could be adapted profitably in other decision-aiding settings besides birth planning. Suggestions for how to address the theoretical shortcomings of the Beach technique are offered.

个人决策辅助:关于海滩计划生育程序的一些观察
本文回顾了Beach和他的同事为生育计划开发的决策辅助程序。结果表明,Beach程序的基础模型具有一些不寻常的和有问题的形式后果。与Beach等人的主张相反,该程序不能依赖于对标准效用理论的简单解释来证明其正当性。值得注意的是,尽管存在形式上的困难,Beach程序有一个独特的特点,即提醒决策者注意潜在的重大结果,这些结果可以在生育计划以外的其他辅助决策环境中进行有益的调整。对如何解决Beach技术的理论缺陷提出了建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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