The US-China rivalry and Europe's choice

Jinwoo Choi
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Abstract

It is in Europe's interest to preserve the rules-based international order, fending off challenges to it by revisionist powers, notably China and Russia. Europe has opted to jump on the US bandwagon to preserve the rules-based order and acts as balance against China. But Europe's approach to China is not likely to be confined rigidly to the parameter set by the US. China's economy continues to be attractive to Europe's trading economy, and, depending on the course of China's foreign policy in the coming years, Europe's position might soften somewhat. In the process, disagreements and conflicts might emerge among stakeholders with regard to the direction, pace, and degree of adjustment in the relationship with China.

美中竞争与欧洲的选择
维护基于规则的国际秩序符合欧洲的利益,抵御修正主义大国对其的挑战,尤其是中国和俄罗斯。欧洲选择追随美国的潮流,以维护基于规则的秩序,并在对抗中国时发挥平衡作用。但欧洲对中国的态度不太可能严格局限于美国设定的参数。中国经济对欧洲的贸易经济仍然具有吸引力,而且,根据中国未来几年的外交政策,欧洲的立场可能会有所软化。在此过程中,利益相关者可能会在对华关系调整的方向、速度和程度方面出现分歧和冲突。
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