Attacking the grid: Lessons from a guerrilla conflict and efforts for peace in Colombia: 1990–2018

IF 4.1 3区工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS

International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI:10.1016/j.ijcip.2023.100621

Jennifer S. Holmes , Agustin Palao , Mercedez Callenes , Neil Ortiz Silva , Alvaro Cardenas

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Colombia has suffered a decades long internal conflict with leftist guerrillas. Its power grid has been attacked, causing significant damage to Colombian industry and disruption to citizens. This article uses data from ISA and XM (operators of the Colombian power grid) and from Centro de Investigación y Educación Popular (CINEP), a non-profit organization tracking the internal conflict in Colombia), to compare patterns of tower attacks to the general conflict with two main leftist guerrilla groups, the Ejército de Liberación Nacional (ELN) and the Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (FARC). Using time series analysis, trends of violence, tower attacks, and peace attempts from 1990 to 2018 are examined to see if structural breaks in violence correspond to critical junctures in negotiations. Attacks on the power grid are shown to be a popular guerrilla tactic to pressure the government.

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攻击电网：哥伦比亚游击队冲突的教训和和平努力：1990–2018

哥伦比亚与左翼游击队发生了长达数十年的内部冲突。其电网遭到袭击，对哥伦比亚工业造成重大破坏，对公民造成干扰。本文使用ISA和XM（哥伦比亚电网运营商）以及追踪哥伦比亚内部冲突的非营利组织大众投资中心（CINEP）的数据，将塔楼袭击模式与两个主要左翼游击队的一般冲突进行比较，民族解放军（ELN）和哥伦比亚革命武装力量（FARC）。使用时间序列分析，研究了1990年至2018年的暴力、塔楼袭击和和平尝试的趋势，以确定暴力的结构性中断是否与谈判的关键时刻相对应。对电网的攻击被证明是向政府施压的一种流行的游击战术。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS-ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

CiteScore

8.90

自引率

5.60%

发文量

审稿时长

>12 weeks

期刊介绍： The International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection (IJCIP) was launched in 2008, with the primary aim of publishing scholarly papers of the highest quality in all areas of critical infrastructure protection. Of particular interest are articles that weave science, technology, law and policy to craft sophisticated yet practical solutions for securing assets in the various critical infrastructure sectors. These critical infrastructure sectors include: information technology, telecommunications, energy, banking and finance, transportation systems, chemicals, critical manufacturing, agriculture and food, defense industrial base, public health and health care, national monuments and icons, drinking water and water treatment systems, commercial facilities, dams, emergency services, nuclear reactors, materials and waste, postal and shipping, and government facilities. Protecting and ensuring the continuity of operation of critical infrastructure assets are vital to national security, public health and safety, economic vitality, and societal wellbeing. The scope of the journal includes, but is not limited to: 1. Analysis of security challenges that are unique or common to the various infrastructure sectors. 2. Identification of core security principles and techniques that can be applied to critical infrastructure protection. 3. Elucidation of the dependencies and interdependencies existing between infrastructure sectors and techniques for mitigating the devastating effects of cascading failures. 4. Creation of sophisticated, yet practical, solutions, for critical infrastructure protection that involve mathematical, scientific and engineering techniques, economic and social science methods, and/or legal and public policy constructs.