The Baltic predicament in the shadow of Russia’s war in Ukraine

Q3 Social Sciences

Orbis Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.1016/j.orbis.2023.06.003

Andris Banka

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has once again reinvigorated the debate about the likelihood of conflict spreading into NATO’s frontline states, namely the Baltic republics. This article argues that somewhat paradoxically, the Baltics currently find themselves in both the best of times and the worst of times. On the one hand, with each “turn of the screw”—Georgia in 2008, Ukraine in 2014 and 2022—Moscow has ensured a greater allied presence across the Baltics. Still, despite this and Russia’s substantial losses incurred in the war, the Baltic lawmakers will not write off Russia as a military threat any time soon.

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波罗的海的困境在俄罗斯乌克兰战争的阴影下

俄罗斯入侵乌克兰再次引发了关于冲突可能蔓延到北约前线国家，即波罗的海共和国的辩论。这篇文章认为，有点矛盾的是，波罗的海人目前发现自己处于最好的时代和最坏的时代。一方面，随着2008年格鲁吉亚、2014年和2022年乌克兰的每一次“螺丝转动”，莫斯科都确保了在波罗的海地区有更大的盟友存在。尽管如此，尽管俄罗斯在战争中遭受了巨大损失，波罗的海立法者不会在短期内将俄罗斯视为军事威胁。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Orbis SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY-

CiteScore

1.10

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

37 days

期刊介绍： Orbis, the Foreign Policy Research Institute quarterly journal of world affairs, was founded in 1957 as a forum for policymakers, scholars, and the informed public who sought an engaging, thought-provoking debate beyond the predictable, conventional journals of that time. Nearly half a century later, Orbis continues to offer informative, insightful, and lively discourse on the full range of topics relating to American foreign policy and national security, as well as in-depth analysis on important international developments. Orbis readers always know the stories behind the headlines.