Macroeconomic determinants of renewable energy penetration: Evidence from Nigeria

Victoria Oluwatoyin Foye
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Abstract

This paper analyses the macroeconomic determinants of renewable energy penetration in Nigeria. It employs autoregressive distributed lag approach of econometrics using data from 1990 to 2020. The stationarity test reveals that the variables are stationary at level and at first difference as well as have a long-run relationship, corroborated by correction of 66% and 86% disequilibrium. The results conclude that macroeconomic variables are very important factors that determine renewable energy penetration in Nigeria. The relative effects of the resultant determinants graded income as the most important, followed by exchange rate and then inflation. The place of education and health human capital development is equally paramount to renewable energy penetration, among others. The study recommends among others, increase in renewable energy capacity by directly creating renewable energy jobs to increase its penetration and income which tops the list. This will improve other sectors as energy is germane in economic growth processes.

Abstract Image

可再生能源渗透的宏观经济决定因素:来自尼日利亚的证据
本文分析了尼日利亚可再生能源普及的宏观经济决定因素。它采用了计量经济学的自回归分布滞后方法,使用了1990年至2020年的数据。平稳性检验表明,变量在水平和第一差处是平稳的,并且具有长期关系,66%和86%的不平衡校正证实了这一点。研究结果表明,宏观经济变量是决定尼日利亚可再生能源渗透率的非常重要的因素。由此产生的决定因素的相对影响将收入列为最重要的,其次是汇率,然后是通货膨胀。教育和卫生人力资本发展对可再生能源的普及等同样至关重要。该研究建议,通过直接创造可再生能源就业机会来提高可再生能源的产能,以提高其渗透率和收入,这是最重要的。这将改善其他部门,因为能源与经济增长过程密切相关。
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