Prognostic utility of preoperative and postoperative KRAS-mutated circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Abstract

Background

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a challenging disease, with surgery being the only possible cure. However, despite surgery, the majority of patients experience recurrence. Recent evidence suggests that perioperative KRAS-mutated circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) may have prognostic value. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to explore the prognostic significance of preoperative and postoperative KRAS-mutated ctDNA testing in resected PDAC.

Methods

We searched PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials databases for studies that reported the effect of preoperative and postoperative KRAS-mutated ctDNA on overall survival (OS) and/or relapse-free survival (RFS) in resected PDAC. We used a random-effects model to determine the pooled OS and RFS hazard ratios (HR) and their corresponding 95 % confidence intervals (CI).

Results

We identified 15 studies (868 patients) eligible for analysis. In the preoperative setting, positive ctDNA correlated with worse RFS in 8 studies (HR, 2.067; 95 % CI, 1.346–3.174, P < 0.001) and worse OS in 10 studies (HR, 2.170; 95 % CI, 1.451–3.245, P < 0.001) compared to negative ctDNA. In the postoperative setting, positive ctDNA correlated with worse RFS across 9 studies (HR, 3.32; 95 % CI, 2.19–5.03, P < 0.001) and worse OS in 6 studies (HR, 6.62; 95 % CI, 2.18–20.16, P < 0.001) compared to negative ctDNA.

Conclusion

Our meta-analysis supports the utility of preoperative and postoperative KRAS-mutated ctDNA testing as a prognostic marker for resected PDAC. Further controlled studies are warranted to confirm these results and to investigate the potential therapeutic implications of positive KRAS-mutated ctDNA.